TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ab6…8eef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
162
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Commodities at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT6549.2%32 W · 33 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$193
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.44
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$36.59
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.03
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.82
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$487.9
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$332.06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$60.32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$711Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$279
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$35.36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.76
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$77.5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,557Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$827.36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$141.05
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,376Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$377
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,014.79
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.1
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT3857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$145.08
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.58
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92%+$247.3
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.67
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.4
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.12
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$831Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$247.97
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,583Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+578.6%+$9,160.06
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.45
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,495Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$671.59
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$22.29
Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$290.97
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$750.15
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,782Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$2,336.73
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.53
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$181
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$217
Will Bárður á Steig Nielsen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aksel V. Johannesen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,118.21
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,007Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$1,551.4
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-45.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Commodities — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$724.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$167.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$70.28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$790.7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,940.15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$140.4
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$545.7
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.76
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$71.35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,208Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28%+$897.44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$873Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$873.45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$373.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.71
Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,574Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,574.19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$150.24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$154.77
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.08
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-56.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+61.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+128.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+32%+$130.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+27%+$10.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.