World Politics · resolved market
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe94749bbf616139120735f9720de5b1a94b61cb7da0feb633f97f113d61a167b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $847,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $890,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $847,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,002 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Yes | 78c | 25,848$20,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,727.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes | 64c | 25,658$16,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,321.04 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 71c | 15,966$11,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,655.45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2497…e26abacked Yes | 77c | 13,192$10,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,063.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +363.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…0af9backed No | 23c | 10,683$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 47c | 9,561$4,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,098.25 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea0…d508backed Yes | 67c | 9,182$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…3ae9backed No | 21c | 9,050$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 64c | 7,546$4,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.22 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…5d58backed Yes | 30c | 7,144$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,977.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +229.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…f6febacked Yes | 78c | 6,182$4,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda84…ac44backed Yes | 67c | 5,856$3,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed No | 39c | 5,699$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.22 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…bfa2backed Yes | 53c | 5,557$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.68 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7707…baa7backed No | 27c | 5,534$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf83…ef8ebacked No | 56c | 5,340$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,007.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…22e1backed Yes | 73c | 5,300$3,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x454e…62b9backed Yes | 18c | 5,000$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,084.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ff…a3e7backed Yes | 18c | 4,950$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,057.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +454.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…fce7backed Yes | 21c | 4,950$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a6…0a76backed Yes | 41c | 4,689$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.91 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa071…c452backed Yes | 50c | 4,529$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…ca15backed Yes | 73c | 4,111$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0096…8791backed No | 37c | 4,057$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 33c | 3,995$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.02 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b0…ef31backed Yes | 33c | 3,892$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 21c | 3,846$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.46 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 41c | 3,833$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.44 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2234…8d2ebacked No | 22c | 3,766$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38d…7080backed No | 11c | 3,742$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 8c | 3,707$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.52 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 44c | 3,695$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.21 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 46c | 3,594$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.51 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed No | 38c | 3,459$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…cb8cbacked Yes | 75c | 3,458$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa872…c12fbacked Yes | 72c | 3,405$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe314…b203backed Yes | 38c | 3,352$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +153.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…41dcbacked Yes | 18c | 3,329$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 58c | 3,325$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.81 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 37c | 3,200$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 79c | 3,185$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.9 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 2c | 3,100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…1d6ebacked No | 24c | 3,070$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed No | 23c | 3,000$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…5f35backed Yes | 53c | 2,971$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 36c | 2,909$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.8 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…1fb4backed Yes | 35c | 2,841$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +186.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6954…ecb0backed Yes | 20c | 2,824$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +404.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…eed6backed No | 33c | 2,817$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.21 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed No | 20c | 2,800$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 63c | 2,608$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.89 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…7b5bbacked Yes | 77c | 2,590$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…7489backed No | 33c | 2,530$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…d3d2backed Yes | 76c | 2,460$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.89 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…c40bbacked Yes | 35c | 2,456$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 28cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…1227backed Yes | 18c | 2,426$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +470.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 42c | 2,413$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.73 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…d40ebacked No | 26c | 2,369$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35dc…2093backed Yes | 18c | 2,333$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed No | 28c | 2,300$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.16 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Yes | 78c | 2,238$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed7…6923backed No | 53c | 2,218$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 25c | 2,213$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.52 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…ed13backed No | 21c | 2,200$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…8eefbacked Yes | 69c | 2,167$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.59 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 62c | 2,114$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.64 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe03a…439fbacked Yes | 33c | 2,106$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…462ebacked Yes | 39c | 2,068$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.86 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 29c | 2,050$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.62 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8a…ab0dbacked Yes | 31c | 2,017$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +223.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…700dbacked Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab1…3608backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 33c | 1,961$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.2 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1145…8620backed Yes | 27c | 1,933$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +264.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed No | 8c | 1,873$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…c27ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,833$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.39 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f96…4fd1backed No | 21c | 1,818$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d02…adadbacked Yes | 72c | 1,792$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.92 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…10d1backed Yes | 22c | 1,773$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 18cpaid | +272.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5133…657cbacked No | 28c | 1,712$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd4…cf34backed Yes | 59c | 1,701$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2baa…89b5backed Yes | 41c | 1,695$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 36c | 1,579$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.6 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…e937backed Yes | 75c | 1,531$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.03 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 32c | 1,517$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.89 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed No | 8c | 1,511$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…a6e4backed Yes | 67c | 1,485$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…d4e1backed Yes | 36c | 1,358$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263b…c51fbacked No | 36c | 1,348$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…adfcbacked Yes | 48c | 1,347$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 16c | 1,308$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.7 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 34c | 1,301$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.13 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd588…cec0backed No | 38c | 1,297$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 37c | 1,291$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.95 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab6…b8a0backed No | 23c | 1,278$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 65c | 1,275$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.04 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9049…1c02backed Yes | 26c | 1,266$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +278.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 69c | 1,211$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.62 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?this page
- Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Luka Mesec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Matej Tonin be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Zoran Stevanović be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.