World Politics · resolved market
Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x066ab5c23968b87e3dedae9843889eb60de22dfa07498d938bafee0b684439cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $445,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $445,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 31,501$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6b…3bd4backed Yes | 1c | 13,968$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa071…c452backed Yes | 0c | 11,320$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…ce09backed Yes | 0c | 11,214$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff3…679ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,102$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…20ecbacked Yes | 0c | 2,812$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bc…6e0abacked Yes | 0c | 2,812$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1df…a759backed Yes | 0c | 2,812$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…5e15backed Yes | 0c | 2,812$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6208…f187backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f37cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab5…54bebacked Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c4…4d0dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…1bb2backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd3…dc3fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,712$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…04f6backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90b…dc68backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ee…15dfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5df…d047backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ff…da52backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d74…8ff8backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…37bfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadf…d184backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…f033backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172c…7d86backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2f…9e26backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4799…829dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4abe…4685backed Yes | 0c | 2,712$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacf…7bd9backed Yes | 0c | 2,712$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…7770backed Yes | 0c | 2,712$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…1e67backed Yes | 0c | 2,712$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5f…bdfebacked Yes | 0c | 2,712$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e23…b2edbacked Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…0d30backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743f…89a0backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b34…6848backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6232…74dcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c68…1c65backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…90c7backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…853dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb765…fa9bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0208…af6bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3849…55d1backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…6748backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…2d96backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb778…42e3backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad0…eaa1backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…8292backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…8857backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698e…c6f3backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c3…962dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752a…46a7backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3961…afacbacked Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1159…ac32backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…d7b2backed Yes | 1c | 2,612$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x432f…b345backed Yes | 1c | 2,612$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2f…f892backed Yes | 1c | 2,512$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ed…b943backed Yes | 1c | 2,512$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2833…e571backed Yes | 1c | 2,412$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e3…d6bcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,412$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…3088backed Yes | 1c | 2,412$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef5…e64cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,312$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x049a…ed25backed Yes | 1c | 2,312$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcebd…2d5fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,312$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…1e07backed Yes | 1c | 2,054$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 1,735$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e1…cb59backed Yes | 1c | 1,085$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?this page
- Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes won
- Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Luka Mesec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Matej Tonin be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Zoran Stevanović be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.