World Politics · resolved market
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c04287bbfd19a0d3bd2ba802fc5250c8e4f5025d2b5cff1c5af518fc8c4091f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $275,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6b…3bd4backed Yes | 2c | 20,715$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2234…8d2ebacked Yes | 8c | 17,318$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0960backed Yes | 1c | 12,471$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 5c | 4,336$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.15 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…9945backed Yes | 7c | 3,438$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 12c | 3,061$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.94 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 11c | 2,271$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,185$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.81 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 4c | 2,056$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.69 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…4305backed Yes | 6c | 1,743$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0c…1c8bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,700$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Yes | 7c | 1,642$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 7c | 1,396$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…f6febacked Yes | 6c | 1,353$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed Yes | 7c | 1,213$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…d311backed Yes | 14c | 1,116$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…9f9fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,075$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb3…6ef2backed Yes | 19c | 1,057$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…e502backed Yes | 10c | 1,022$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…d40ebacked Yes | 8c | 966.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326b…33ebbacked Yes | 2c | 917.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…181cbacked Yes | 9c | 758.69$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…4bafbacked Yes | 8c | 750$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 5c | 700.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…ef7cbacked Yes | 15c | 695.14$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fb…f5d4backed Yes | 21c | 682.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5aa…ed92backed Yes | 13c | 665$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…6d9ebacked Yes | 15c | 660.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be3…6153backed Yes | 16c | 660$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a3ccbacked Yes | 12c | 639$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bc…14e0backed Yes | 11c | 626$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fc…955cbacked Yes | 8c | 612$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…0fe2backed Yes | 6c | 609.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…e636backed Yes | 15c | 566$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…4afbbacked Yes | 20c | 553.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.09 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa071…c452backed Yes | 8c | 549.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 4c | 544.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…04cbbacked Yes | 14c | 540$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0119…8701backed Yes | 17c | 535$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…c70dbacked Yes | 14c | 530.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…0120backed Yes | 11c | 530$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…0548backed Yes | 8c | 529.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…0735backed Yes | 10c | 519$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddc…74d8backed Yes | 19c | 510.27$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…f229backed Yes | 18c | 508$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x872c…40e0backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…65d9backed Yes | 10c | 499$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +235.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…2c0ebacked Yes | 15c | 495$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb64…0d56backed Yes | 7c | 487$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6908…78bdbacked Yes | 8c | 473$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 7c | 472.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd409…4cdebacked Yes | 10c | 468$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe089…e7bbbacked Yes | 18c | 461$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…e154backed Yes | 6c | 459$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96b…aeb1backed Yes | 11c | 436$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…d4e1backed Yes | 12c | 430.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…5b80backed Yes | 6c | 430$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681e…b12bbacked Yes | 11c | 426$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…5a80backed Yes | 17c | 417.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…08e5backed Yes | 12c | 413$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…d279backed Yes | 4c | 410.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x411d…919ebacked Yes | 10c | 409.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0096…8791backed Yes | 7c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…a2ecbacked Yes | 7c | 397$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 394.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263b…c51fbacked Yes | 21c | 393.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…b5aabacked Yes | 18c | 391$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…974bbacked Yes | 6c | 390.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…f237backed Yes | 7c | 389$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…c2a2backed Yes | 6c | 377$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…6963backed Yes | 7c | 375$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6890…de45backed Yes | 10c | 363$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41a…400ebacked Yes | 6c | 354$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +437.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…507cbacked Yes | 8c | 353$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ed…b5debacked Yes | 18c | 342.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f32…efb4backed Yes | 14c | 342$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7617…9e8dbacked Yes | 14c | 342$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +168.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 6c | 335.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c91…f766backed Yes | 8c | 331$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…3616backed Yes | 6c | 330$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…2757backed Yes | 6c | 328$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058c…9c63backed Yes | 15c | 325.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe914…19cfbacked Yes | 10c | 325$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5597…ef37backed Yes | 10c | 325$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b9…b56dbacked Yes | 17c | 325$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…ac6cbacked Yes | 17c | 325$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…76fdbacked Yes | 13c | 320.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a06…921abacked Yes | 12c | 313.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…06fcbacked Yes | 10c | 313$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…53fabacked Yes | 10c | 313$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 9c | 306.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa41b…0fa6backed Yes | 15c | 303.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966e…02febacked Yes | 15c | 303$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b0…353abacked Yes | 11c | 300$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…5a0abacked Yes | 11c | 300$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d0…cb58backed Yes | 11c | 300$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a2…36d4backed Yes | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8d…88abbacked Yes | 10c | 300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?this page
- Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes won
- Will Luka Mesec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Matej Tonin be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Zoran Stevanović be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.