TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79f4…4afb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
419
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 60 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT15121.2%32 W · 119 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 151 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+675.2%+$135.04
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$88
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$93.69
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$93.69
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$110
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$93.69
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 151 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT6333.3%21 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$578.7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$59.4
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$25.01
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.25
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$154
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.61
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$510.11
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$65.37
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+309.1%+$340.66
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+570.1%+$510.46
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.7
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT3810.5%4 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: SC Corinthians Paulista 1 - 1 CA Paranaense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: CA Talleres 1 - 1 CA Vélez Sarsfield?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: CA Talleres 1 - 0 CA Vélez Sarsfield?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Exact Score: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 1 - 0 CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$83
Exact Score: CA Banfield 0 - 0 CA Sarmiento?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: CA Banfield 1 - 1 CA Sarmiento?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: CA Banfield 2 - 1 CA Sarmiento?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: CA Banfield 1 - 0 CA Sarmiento?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Exact Score: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 1 - 1 CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 2 - 0 CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: AA Estudiantes 0 - 0 CA Tigre?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Exact Score: AA Estudiantes 0 - 1 CA Tigre?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Exact Score: CA Vélez Sarsfield 0 - 0 Instituto AC Córdoba?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: CA Vélez Sarsfield 2 - 0 Instituto AC Córdoba?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Botafogo FR 1 - 1 EC Vitória?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: Botafogo FR 2 - 0 EC Vitória?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Botafogo FR 2 - 1 EC Vitória?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: Botafogo FR 1 - 0 EC Vitória?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: São Paulo FC 1 - 1 CA Paranaense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: São Paulo FC 1 - 0 CA Paranaense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: São Paulo FC 2 - 1 CA Paranaense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 2 - 1 Pumas de la UNAM?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 1 - 1 Pumas de la UNAM?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 2 - 0 Pumas de la UNAM?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 1 - 0 Pumas de la UNAM?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT3718.9%7 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will the Slovenian National Party (SNS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.31
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will the Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.33
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.09
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$742.19
Will King Charles say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be below 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.44
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$159.09
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+1,274.5%+$927.25
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.95
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$96.07
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$55.76
Will Keir Starmer say "Scotland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+192.1%+$47.3
Will Keir Starmer say "Budget" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22.06
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 25+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Keir Starmer say "United Kingdom" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Keir Starmer say "Christmas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+88.2%+$47.35
Will Keir Starmer say "Liz" or "Truss" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+222.6%+$60.84
Will Keir Starmer say "Christmas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$24.7
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$88.5
Will Keir Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: KF Dukagjini Klinë 0 - 2 FC Lugano?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: KF Dukagjini Klinë 0 - 1 FC Lugano?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: KF Dukagjini Klinë 1 - 2 FC Lugano?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: KF Dukagjini Klinë 1 - 1 FC Lugano?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: FK CSKA 1948 Sofia 1 - 1 FC Spartak Trnava?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: FK CSKA 1948 Sofia 1 - 0 FC Spartak Trnava?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: FK CSKA 1948 Sofia 2 - 1 FC Spartak Trnava?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: HNK Hajduk Split 1 - 1 Páfos FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: HNK Hajduk Split 1 - 0 Páfos FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: FK Dynamo Kyiv 1 - 0 PAOK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: FK Dynamo Kyiv 1 - 1 PAOK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: Neftçi PFK 1 - 1 FK Dynama-Minsk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: Neftçi PFK 1 - 0 FK Dynama-Minsk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Exact Score: Ferencvárosi TC 2 - 0 FK Vojvodina Novi Sad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Ferencvárosi TC 2 - 1 FK Vojvodina Novi Sad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: FC Inter Turku 2 - 1 FK Sarajevo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$97.09
Exact Score: FC Inter Turku 1 - 0 FK Sarajevo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: FC Inter Turku 1 - 1 FK Sarajevo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 18 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Ulsan HD FC 1 - 1 Incheon United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Exact Score: Ulsan HD FC 2 - 1 Incheon United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Exact Score: FC Anyang 1 - 1 Gwangju FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$88
Exact Score: Bucheon FC 1995 0 - 2 FC Seoul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Bucheon FC 1995 0 - 1 FC Seoul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Exact Score: Bucheon FC 1995 1 - 1 FC Seoul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: Bucheon FC 1995 1 - 2 FC Seoul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: FC Anyang 1 - 0 Gwangju FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: FC Anyang 2 - 1 Gwangju FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: FC Anyang 2 - 0 Gwangju FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1 - 1 Zhejiang Zhiye FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$86
Exact Score: Beijing Guoan FC 2 - 1 Liaoning Tieren FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick38cpaid-61.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+323.4%+$361.94
Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.95
Will Trump say "Little" or "Liddle" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$150.4
Will Trump say "Affordability" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$27.6
Will Trump say "Where are you from" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.5
Will Donald Trump or Elon Musk Say "Woke" during the press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.42
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.98
Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$267.8
Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$231.44
All 11 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick28cpaid+101.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+331.6%+$282.32
Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.34
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$115.34
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$158.85
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+282.9%+$160.01
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+225.1%+$157.75
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.36
Trump x Xi talk before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick22cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.95
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$52.16
Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$27.27
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+222.6%+$138
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$23.2
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will anyone say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.19
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$546.92
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$387
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick13cpaid+90.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: FK Kauno Žalgiris 1 - 0 KÍ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$86
Exact Score: FK Kauno Žalgiris 1 - 1 KÍ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: FK Kauno Žalgiris 2 - 0 KÍ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Larne FC 0 - 1 FK Crvena zvezda?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Larne FC 0 - 2 FK Crvena zvezda?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Larne FC 0 - 3 FK Crvena zvezda?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 0 Górnik Zabrze?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 3 - 0 Górnik Zabrze?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 2 - 0 Górnik Zabrze?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick5cpaid-47.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Powell say "Banking" or "Banker" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will Powell say "Thank you" 3+ times during Princeton Commencement on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.26
Will Powell say "Degree" 3+ times during Princeton Commencement on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.65
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.45
Will Powell say "Princeton" 5+ times during Princeton Commencement on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.15
Will Powell say "Economy" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$24.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+130.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,906Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+73.1%+$2,125.75
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,184.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump post 16-20 times this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$96.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Too Late" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.