World Politics · resolved market
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6848ef8d4bebe9f52444962dd49e7393261b64d7d183ff338ca74add01c8d88a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 74c | 1,503$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.1 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 54c | 1,428$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.04 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…e7cabacked Yes | 79c | 1,182$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.09 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed No | 28c | 1,083$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.71 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 2c | 1,056$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d52…58f0backed Yes | 22c | 507.1$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…6dddbacked Yes | 69c | 403$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked Yes | 48c | 327.77$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.93 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8954…704bbacked No | 22c | 277.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 45c | 219.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 58c | 219.24$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 43c | 199.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Yes | 30c | 195.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.29 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb914…71f0backed Yes | 27c | 185.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +81%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…4afbbacked Yes | 9c | 174.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.09 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 21c | 173.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 56c | 166.61$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 42c | 161.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 40c | 158.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.77 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ff…dae1backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 32c | 120.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked Yes | 34c | 110.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 11c | 104.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 18c | 104.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 48c | 93.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeccc…0ac9backed Yes | 61c | 91.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 27c | 77.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…855bbacked Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +243%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 38c | 67.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 75c | 67.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…98aebacked Yes | 58c | 63.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 62c | 51.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 51c | 50.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Yes | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286f…82a5backed Yes | 58c | 46.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf6…7521backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 46c | 35.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a69ebacked No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…82aabacked Yes | 40c | 30.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 60c | 28.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…e937backed Yes | 39c | 25.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…6b75backed Yes | 60c | 23.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aba…e2c6backed Yes | 59c | 19.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…1856backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?this page
- Will Resni.ca (Res) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Democrats (D) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Slovenian National Party (SNS) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.