TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97c7…37ad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
804
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT66753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 667 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.16
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.52
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.9
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.67
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$83.12
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.03
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$42.27
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$120.14
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.19
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 667 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT4057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.88
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$101.25
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$88.12
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.06
Katana FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+668.1%+$102.36
Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+55.2%+$27.6
Rainbow FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+77.6%+$15.52
Over $7M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+124%+$28.41
Over $10M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+64.9%+$22.7
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+161.8%+$29.66
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+50.8%+$9.25
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Over $3M committed to the Bitway public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+125.2%+$31.29
ETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.19
Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.59
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4055%22 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$26.24
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.57
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.71
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.31
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.9
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$115.46
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.58
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.9
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$71.4
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$131.66
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$174.02
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.58
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$27.72
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.86
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+280.1%+$126.35
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.97
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-48.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.8%+$82
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+80%+$19.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Dinamo Minsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Florida Panthers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$21.28
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$585
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.