NHL · resolved market
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Ak Bars Kazan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56858c31d726cfca893e431fd6923463f0160244aef1d51eccd4349b44aa5ce0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ak Bars Kazanof Dinamo Minsk, Ak Bars Kazan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa664…f849backed Ak Bars Kazan | 35c | 945.76$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.75 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Dinamo Minsk | 65c | 874.08$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.81 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Dinamo Minsk | 36c | 639.7$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.26 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Ak Bars Kazan | 61c | 435.82$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.05 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 68c | 370.94$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.06 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbc…3d8abacked Dinamo Minsk | 37c | 231.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ak Bars Kazan | 57c | 224.52$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 46c | 147.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.45 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dinamo Minsk | 51c | 123.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d39…1ca7backed Ak Bars Kazan | 35c | 101.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 63.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed Dinamo Minsk | 65c | 52.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Dinamo Minsk | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Ak Bars Kazan | 61c | 33.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Dinamo Minsk | 57c | 32.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Dinamo Minsk | 69c | 31.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 30.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…8f93backed Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 26.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Ak Bars Kazan | 69c | 21.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Dinamo Minsk | 59c | 21.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Dinamo Minsk | 65c | 15.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.