TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc87b…51d4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
362
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NHL, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 61 out of 100; worst Asian League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT21055.2%116 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 210 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$44.78
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$191.61
1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$734.66
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$81.25
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$3,503.02
Spread: Hawks (-5.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,400
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$318.66
Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+47.1%+$235.62
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,005.69
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,691Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$1,383.23
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,171.63
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,100
1H Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+81.8%+$327.27
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+104.4%+$786.25
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$541.4
Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+42.9%+$390
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+86.8%+$1,284.44
Showing 25 of 210 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT3171%22 W · 9 L+5.4wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+30.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Dinamo Minskbacked Dinamo Minsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.33
KHL: Torpedo vs. Metallurg Magnitogorskbacked Torpedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Dinamo Minsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.81
Capitals vs. Golden Knightsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$31.12
KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Dinamo Minskbacked Dinamo Minsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.71
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Avalanche vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$77.48
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. HC Dynamo Moscowbacked Dinamo Minsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+40%+$58.14
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+129.1%+$387.22
Lightning vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.2%+$324.72
Wild vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+112.8%+$225.65
Lightning vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$200
KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Lada Togliattibacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+26.6%+$79.75
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. HC Dynamo Moscowbacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$170.37
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Traktorbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,264Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+34.6%+$437.16
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+125.2%+$500.93
Blackhawks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Predators vs. Bluesbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Devils (-1.5)backed Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+39.4%+$110.25
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$240.5
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+124.5%+$622.51
Blue Jackets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$330.74
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$373
Canucks vs. Devilsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$77.78
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+110.5%+$441.86
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.81
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+135.3%+$833.73
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,507Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.7%+$778.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,427Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,427.48
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$32.73
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,744Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+74.5%+$2,042.95
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$103.03
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+76.5%+$379.97
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.6%+$67.1
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+42.3%+$187.75
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$151.21
Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$879Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+69.5%+$610.87
Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+49.3%+$179.68
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+56.5%+$113
Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$390.07
Bournemouth vs. Chelsea: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,369Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+47.1%+$644.03
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+112.6%+$624.5
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37%+$73.97
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$128.57
Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-53.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$642.55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23,924Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$24,572.24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,404Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+252.9%+$3,551.23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$46,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46,131.82
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,151.15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$129.67
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$4,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,367.74
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62.47
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,900.48
Russia x Ukraine buffer zone agreement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,119.33
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$974.72
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+132.8%+$265.64
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$390
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$205
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
Will Belarus win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.58
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+85.2%+$851.85
Will South Africa vs. Angola end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+69.5%+$82
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Romania end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Kosovo win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+60.1%+$445.98
Will Russia win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+45.6%+$87.91
Will Kazakhstan win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+30.2%+$30.21
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$601.24
Will France win on 2025-10-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+61.6%+$308.22
Will North Macedonia win on 2025-10-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+102.3%+$167.24
Will Sweden win on 2025-10-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$71.53
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+98.4%+$492.24
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.28
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+77.1%+$577.84
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Elche CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$128.57
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,341Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$2,340.69
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+63.3%+$421.65
Alaves vs. Real Sociedad: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+44.9%+$134.78
Will Villarreal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+72.4%+$217.24
Villarreal vs. Getafe: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Villarreal vs. Getafe: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$226.32
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$976Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$342.78
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25%+$75
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$138.98
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25%+$75
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$160
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$85.71
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$500
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST7100%7 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.7%+$107.14
Utah State vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+61.5%+$123.04
Arizona vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$727.49
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-51.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-55.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Jacksonville Dolphinsbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Elon Phoenixbacked Elon Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+32.4%+$226.85
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,945Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,944.96
All 3 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+122.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Partizanbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+75.3%+$704.36
BC Dubai vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+170%+$589.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+28.2%+$75.73
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+35.1%+$70.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,126Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,126.39
Mercury vs. Libertybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,119Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+168.2%+$1,882.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Komodo vs Kopite (BO3)backed Kopite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$749.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Casa Pia AC vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+72.5%+$74.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+56.3%+$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+45.4%+$23.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 2)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports (BO3)backed FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.