Champions League · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b1537ed02b9e18424722f48a32ee5723fb5c1b56b4d314e7a17e5dc1fd44c6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Under | 41c | 34,335$14,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,060.68 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…2006backed Over | 69c | 21,833$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,832.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 32c | 13,142$4,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,204.47 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed Over | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 8,066$4,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.97 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 7,081$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.78 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 31c | 6,371$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.31 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Over | 67c | 5,290$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.75 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…09f7backed Over | 67c | 3,731$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.34 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…36fdbacked Over | 67c | 3,278$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…66a1backed Over | 70c | 2,947$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 34c | 2,795$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.2 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 67c | 2,753$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fd…1128backed Over | 67c | 2,239$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 67c | 1,999$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.67 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 33c | 1,968$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.77 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Over | 66c | 1,896$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.64 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 67c | 1,783$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.87 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked Under | 33c | 1,764$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.11 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.66 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Over | 67c | 1,441$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.62 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 69c | 1,184$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.03 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 32c | 978$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.96 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 32c | 870.09$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.43 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…9df5backed Over | 67c | 863.88$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…e2afbacked Over | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 35c | 796.6$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.95 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Over | 67c | 758.21$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.21 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked Under | 35c | 716$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a04…d57dbacked Over | 68c | 627.27$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Over | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 65cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed Over | 48c | 580$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 574.23$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.6 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 66c | 502.89$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.89 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 32c | 444$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.08 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Over | 66c | 402.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.52 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.22 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Over | 64c | 325$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.9 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 67c | 323.88$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Under | 35c | 316.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.59 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Over | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8a97backed Under | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 32c | 299.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fe…7365backed Under | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 66c | 276$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 67c | 266$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…156bbacked Over | 67c | 238.81$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Over | 66c | 233.44$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…8b3abacked Over | 68c | 227.94$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.94 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over | 67c | 225$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…2ef2backed Over | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed Over | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4099…66efbacked Over | 67c | 186.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…97f5backed Over | 68c | 171.11$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 66c | 167.32$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4420…e36ebacked Over | 68c | 154.41$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5c…ed5bbacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…930fbacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Over | 68c | 125.53$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Over | 65c | 119.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Over | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Under | 33c | 107.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd718…3b8fbacked Over | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Over | 68c | 103.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…0cf1backed Under | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Over | 66c | 100.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d69…a482backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9220…4dd9backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…7520backed Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…73ffbacked Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 202 | 56.9%115 W · 87 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x408e…cacebacked Over | 68c | 97.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 66c | 90.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…08f1backed Under | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742d…66b0backed Under | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 54c | 85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…e3d9backed Over | 67c | 82.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Over | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 34c | 79.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.