TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ef5…325e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
303
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST11154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,004.85
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,762Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,762.01
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,020
Seahawks vs. Panthers: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,040
Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,404Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,404
Saints vs. Titans: O/U 39.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$980
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,100
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,127.84
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$638
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+63.9%+$546.64
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$956Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$449.88
Steelers vs. Lions: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$750
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$960
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$980
Spread: Texans (-12.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$840
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$860
Spread: Saints (-4.5)backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$410
Buccaneers vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$960
Buccaneers vs. Panthers: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Chargers vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,671Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+96.9%+$1,618.37
Chargers vs. Cowboys: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$940
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$630
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$960
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$490
Vikings vs. Cowboys: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,842Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+96.1%+$3,691.62
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST9961.6%61 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$500.38
Total Sets: O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Alcaraz vs. Musetti: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$213.5
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+244.8%+$760.68
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$850
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$245
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Sheltonbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+63.9%+$250.62
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+156.4%+$250.26
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+43.2%+$336.1
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+42.4%+$260.36
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+136.3%+$326.16
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$61.28
Open de Moselle, Qualification: Dan Added vs Francesco Passarobacked Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$250.31
Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+44.6%+$449.25
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$475
Open de Moselle, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$465
Jiangxi Open: Lilli Tagger vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$275
Jiangxi Open: Dominika Salkova vs Anna Blinkovabacked Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$255.74
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$250.34
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$397.96
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Jiangxi Open: Alycia Parks vs Anna Blinkovabacked Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+79%+$252.77
Jiangxi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+148.5%+$304.51
Jiangxi Open: Lilli Tagger vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+54.9%+$305.71
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST2748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$420
Burnley FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$875Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$875
West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,065
Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$418
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$760
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$2,021
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.4%+$780.32
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$420
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$1,000.93
West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,381Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+72.4%+$1,000.02
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$690
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$750
Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+36.8%+$272.51
Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+85.2%+$500.04
Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$38.41
Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+47.1%+$640
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,033Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37%+$381.91
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$660
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$469.1
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$832Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+69.5%+$578.52
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Tottenham vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Manchester United vs. Everton: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$665
Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+118.2%+$250.04
Spread: Manchester United (-0.5)backed Tottenham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+61.3%+$250.06
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST2347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+270.4%+$876
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$360
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$250.21
Villarreal CF vs. FC København: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$249.91
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+376.8%+$1,580.5
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$540
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$980
Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$920
FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$570
PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,335Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+49.8%+$665
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$232
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+69.5%+$250.17
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$250
Will Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$200
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$375
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+80.9%+$250.22
Manchester City FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$305.56
Galatasaray SK vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$444.44
Will Qarabag vs. FC Kopenhagen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$82
Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$126
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$832Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$832
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,753Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$1,554.64
Bucks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+96.6%+$936.04
Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,343Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$3,342.83
Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$893Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+56.8%+$507.08
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,167Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$500.14
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+69.5%+$521.19
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$3,120
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,164Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$3,163.52
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+212.7%+$668.18
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$382
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$276.68
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,701Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,701
Boise State vs. Washington: O/U 53.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,008Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+112.8%+$3,392
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,660Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+55.1%+$914.16
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$727.15
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,347Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,346.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+60.9%+$258.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37%+$369.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$470
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PEC Zwolle vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$630
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.