Tennis · resolved market
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd226f122daeff5d032638dcc20a2dce4204d78e91e47516cc2acaed9ee26e4c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rybakinaof Sabalenka, Rybakina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $385,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $413,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Sabalenka | 1c | 115,075$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.18 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Sabalenka | 65c | 72,828$47,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,124.21 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Rybakina | 35c | 41,157$14,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,752.14 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Sabalenka | 39c | 11,737$4,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,603.78 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Rybakina | 36c | 11,541$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,401.28 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Sabalenka | 65c | 8,347$5,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,384.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rybakina | 44c | 7,673$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,313.14 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Rybakina | 59c | 5,700$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.78 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Rybakina | 61c | 5,526$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rybakina | 63c | 5,299$3,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.73 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Sabalenka | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.95 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rybakina | 75c | 4,885$3,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.25 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sabalenka | 41c | 4,193$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.65 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Sabalenka | 38c | 4,048$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.34 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Rybakina | 64c | 4,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rybakina | 60c | 3,874$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.93 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Rybakina | 58c | 3,827$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.42 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Rybakina | 35c | 3,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Sabalenka | 41c | 3,496$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.27 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Rybakina | 49c | 3,358$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.5 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Rybakina | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9005…d988backed Sabalenka | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rybakina | 75c | 2,855$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.07 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…b0f3backed Rybakina | 52c | 2,841$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Rybakina | 35c | 2,827$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.25 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Rybakina | 36c | 2,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…b2b3backed Rybakina | 36c | 2,750$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Rybakina | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rybakina | 36c | 2,486$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.32 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Rybakina | 36c | 2,125$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Rybakina | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Rybakina | 35c | 1,902$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.19 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Rybakina | 36c | 1,843$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.99 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Sabalenka | 28c | 1,707$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Rybakina | 61c | 1,663$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.68 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Sabalenka | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Rybakina | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Sabalenka | 34c | 1,500$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.5 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sabalenka | 40c | 1,476$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.37 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rybakina | 36c | 1,462$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.68 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…7155backed Rybakina | 61c | 1,442$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.78 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…6456backed Sabalenka | 63c | 1,372$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Rybakina | 36c | 1,300$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Sabalenka | 65c | 1,246$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rybakina | 36c | 1,162$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.55 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rybakina | 37c | 1,075$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.14 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Rybakina | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Sabalenka | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Sabalenka | 28c | 991.66$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Sabalenka | 41c | 985.76$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Rybakina | 35c | 971.77$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.65 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Sabalenka | 63c | 954.63$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.96 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Sabalenka | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd2…b69abacked Sabalenka | 56c | 896.32$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Sabalenka | 37c | 888$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.12 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Sabalenka | 40c | 880.8$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Sabalenka | 64c | 871.53$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.78 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Rybakina | 37c | 867.11$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sabalenka | 33c | 865.43$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.7 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed Rybakina | 37c | 862.16$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Rybakina | 58c | 857.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.9 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rybakina | 41c | 849.31$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.02 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Rybakina | 37c | 818$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.41 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Rybakina | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rybakina | 36c | 800$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Rybakina | 35c | 799.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Sabalenka | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Rybakina | 37c | 785.5$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.86 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Rybakina | 56c | 749.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Rybakina | 37c | 732.2$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.28 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6d…ece3backed Rybakina | 37c | 705.81$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Sabalenka | 44c | 672.3$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.71 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Rybakina | 35c | 613.89$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.09 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x92f1…9b81backed Sabalenka | 34c | 596.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rybakina | 36c | 594.97$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.78 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Rybakina | 36c | 573.56$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.54 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Rybakina | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Sabalenka | 63c | 540.54$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.54 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Sabalenka | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Sabalenka | 65c | 511.51$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.48 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Sabalenka | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.53 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Sabalenka | 44c | 500$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Sabalenka | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Rybakina | 62c | 499.55$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.83 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…6f8cbacked Rybakina | 41c | 488.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Sabalenka | 42c | 479.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Sabalenka | 65c | 460$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.88 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Sabalenka | 35c | 451.57$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.39 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…7d37backed Sabalenka | 38c | 442$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.22 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Sabalenka | 64c | 412$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.56 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Rybakina | 39c | 410.26$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.26 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Sabalenka | 65c | 382.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed Rybakina | 37c | 380.84$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.93 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Rybakina | 37c | 378.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.38 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Sabalenka | 40c | 365$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.97 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed46…1badbacked Sabalenka | 64c | 364.72$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.42 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f2…212ebacked Sabalenka | 39c | 363.16$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d13…a252backed Sabalenka | 35c | 347.46$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.61 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01da…bcd5backed Sabalenka | 63c | 335$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Sabalenka | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.