TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x596e…7b82

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,575Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$2,925
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12,742Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+33.3%+$4,247.25
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$449
Pacers vs. Warriorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,504.85
Pacers vs. Nuggetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,432Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,431.98
Mavericks vs. Wizardsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,647Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$1,053
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,680
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$9,760Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+25%+$2,440
Hornets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,282Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+75.1%+$1,713.06
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$9,155Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+81.8%+$7,490.22
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,531Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,531.16
Timberwolves vs. Netsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11,154Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+28.1%+$3,137.34
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+150%+$4,710
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,567.21
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,807Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+147.2%+$4,132.37
Raptors vs. Mavericksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,713Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,713
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12,920Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4,080
Vikings vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,861Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+40.8%+$3,210.95
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$410.9
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$810
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13,811Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13,810.86
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,870Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+25%+$1,967.62
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+426.3%+$3,410.52
Chargers vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$854Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$854
Commanders vs. Chiefsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$853Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$852.5
49ers vs. Texansbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$789.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-72.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32,256Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+98.4%+$31,742.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Partizanbacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,299Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$345.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,220
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$935Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$935
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal vs. Armenia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$311.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,001.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Flamesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,261.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$17,029.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.