World Politics · resolved market
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef5880e94212f24f17d45b756c9aa42bc7d39c3feda659fc22417adae5e22d00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,796,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,737,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,796,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Yes | 5c | 331,838$17,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,153.83 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4bb8backed Yes | 9c | 173,025$15,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,814.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 8c | 121,441$9,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,648.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 14c | 101,868$14,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,526.6 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17f…8a09backed Yes | 7c | 101,441$6,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,654.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe587…4c2fbacked Yes | 6c | 87,795$5,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,253.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…68a9backed Yes | 4c | 80,200$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 6c | 73,194$4,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,402.37 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…527abacked Yes | 29c | 63,925$18,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,658.29 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…bc78backed Yes | 10c | 52,258$5,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,352.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 19cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…053fbacked Yes | 6c | 50,908$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes | 19c | 38,234$7,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,224.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…9df6backed Yes | 6c | 35,417$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29cd…cbc5backed Yes | 1c | 32,109$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.27 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed Yes | 7c | 30,880$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.93 | 61 | 18%11 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad16…6de3backed Yes | 2c | 27,030$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc32…996bbacked Yes | 8c | 24,124$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…6f7dbacked Yes | 5c | 23,371$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 7c | 23,368$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.76 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x446e…8129backed Yes | 7c | 22,154$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 19,063$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.49 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…9318backed Yes | 26c | 17,360$4,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,580.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Yes | 21c | 16,676$3,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,446.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 16,003$12,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,918.47 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…9784backed Yes | 12c | 15,876$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe923…0779backed Yes | 18c | 15,623$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca68…222abacked Yes | 7c | 15,120$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…c80fbacked Yes | 30c | 15,108$4,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,605.48 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…3776backed Yes | 4c | 15,039$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…1d22backed Yes | 7c | 13,735$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 13,128$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.54 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…ccb8backed Yes | 6c | 13,050$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed Yes | 5c | 13,038$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 17c | 12,077$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.82 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…a9e8backed No | 68c | 12,059$8,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,858.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6b…6027backed Yes | 18c | 12,002$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab69…77f1backed Yes | 22c | 11,907$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…95ccbacked Yes | 6c | 11,578$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Yes | 5c | 11,539$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.85 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…5e35backed Yes | 5c | 11,422$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…c4ddbacked Yes | 43c | 11,307$4,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,891.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…763abacked Yes | 5c | 11,200$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.3 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c8…616abacked Yes | 13c | 10,975$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c0…d4efbacked Yes | 9c | 10,660$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x925b…640ebacked Yes | 20c | 10,356$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…7d89backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…7cc1backed Yes | 6c | 9,843$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…0617backed Yes | 2c | 9,793$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 11c | 9,669$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.09 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f2…f658backed Yes | 2c | 9,652$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4237…59edbacked Yes | 21c | 9,637$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9557…01cfbacked Yes | 2c | 9,596$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…45b1backed Yes | 28c | 9,440$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,658.13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x406b…5693backed Yes | 2c | 9,412$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9505…1707backed Yes | 32c | 9,355$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc62…a2c9backed Yes | 8c | 9,067$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…67a8backed Yes | 14c | 8,835$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.84 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46b7…b8c5backed Yes | 32c | 8,444$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.3 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…0d37backed Yes | 26c | 8,350$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.65 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb60a…4526backed Yes | 5c | 8,343$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf67…98fcbacked Yes | 7c | 8,045$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93db…57a4backed Yes | 5c | 8,038$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7080…f00ebacked Yes | 20c | 8,034$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8e…36d9backed Yes | 18c | 7,986$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…e9adbacked Yes | 8c | 7,944$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked No | 55c | 7,663$4,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed0…4b4bbacked Yes | 37c | 7,617$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…c348backed Yes | 1c | 7,500$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 12cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 1c | 6,666$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2e…7b25backed Yes | 32c | 6,639$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 40c | 6,556$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…2943backed Yes | 35c | 6,537$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…2783backed Yes | 30c | 6,354$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.99 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed Yes | 42c | 6,239$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.94 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3,440.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…dd05backed Yes | 12c | 6,138$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 9c | 6,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a7…46c4backed Yes | 5c | 5,883$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf6…b1f2backed Yes | 10c | 5,843$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa78…5ccabacked Yes | 16c | 5,791$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.49 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcb…db5fbacked Yes | 16c | 5,720$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 1c | 5,673$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…4c8bbacked Yes | 20c | 5,635$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.16 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf20…f904backed Yes | 5c | 5,535$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…bcf1backed Yes | 2c | 5,514$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…0953backed Yes | 9c | 5,456$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cf…63e2backed Yes | 1c | 5,202$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4531…1ccebacked Yes | 23c | 5,165$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…a140backed Yes | 2c | 5,138$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…2325backed Yes | 18c | 5,107$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee49…155ebacked Yes | 14c | 5,026$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.04 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cc…9910backed Yes | 3c | 5,003$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…dc17backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…6a01backed Yes | 5c | 5,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 9c | 4,990$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d02…446abacked Yes | 18c | 4,955$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.52 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f82…e6f9backed Yes | 14c | 4,930$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14e…3a06backed Yes | 6c | 4,875$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e3…e777backed Yes | 7c | 4,827$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde54…444dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,817$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +183%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 31c | 4,802$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.6 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?this page
- Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes won
- Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Cătălin Cîrstoiu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will George Tuță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.