TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3ab6…cfec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
256
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT12927.1%35 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 129 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.16
Rotterdam Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublikbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Argentina Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Pedro Martinezbacked Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+156.4%+$18.77
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.05
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger Aliassimebacked Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.37
US Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
US Open: Jessica Pegula vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Andrey Rublevbacked Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
US Open: Leandro Riedi vs Alex de Minaurbacked Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
US Open: Elena Rybakina vs Marketa Vondrousovabacked Vondrousova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$93.33
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jan Lennard Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
US Open: Tomas Machac vs Taylor Fritzbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
US Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Jiri Leheckabacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
US Open: Jessica Pegula vs Ann Libacked Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
US Open: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paulbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+66.5%+$148.87
US Open: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Maria Sakkaribacked Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
US Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$18.49
US Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
US Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex de Minaurbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
US Open: Chak Lam Coleman Wong vs Andrey Rublevbacked Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 129 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT7057.1%40 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Braves vs. Philliesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$16.57
Marlins vs. Metsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
Pirates vs. Red Soxbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Pirates vs. Red Soxbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$12.49
Cubs vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jays vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Astros vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Cubs vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$11.53
Cardinals vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Orioles vs. Astrosbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Dodgers vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$26.67
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cardinals vs. Dodgersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$19.58
Giants vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Astros vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
White Sox vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$11
Pirates vs. Rockiesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$14.09
Twins vs. Dodgersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Angels vs. Metsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT180%0 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.78
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.42
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Romania win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.27
Türkiye vs. Romania: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Romania qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Romania beat Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-72.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$531.85
Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be from another party?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Anca Dragu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?backed Dan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$492.42
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+60.1%+$483.12
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+70.2%+$43.51
All 12 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$12
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will Torino win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+150%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FCSB win on 2025-08-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.