Tennis · resolved market
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20ac17a89c85d79795ba093d0536ab35c7215c04ea04286a69ec5755a88c5d11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,868,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,861,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,868,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 891 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6c1…1bf6backed Yes | 47c | 169,910$79,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,653.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 39c | 162,446$63,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,966.91 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Yes | 46c | 130,449$59,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,451.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…f9bebacked No | 56c | 116,522$65,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,252.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 35c | 103,447$36,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,780.65 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked No | 55c | 73,000$40,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,149.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 37c | 58,175$21,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,676.34 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 71c | 50,616$35,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,803.31 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Yes | 43c | 44,719$19,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,577.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Yes | 36c | 44,595$15,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,741.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1e…b0b4backed Yes | 46c | 42,954$19,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,981.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed No | 56c | 42,692$23,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,907.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 35c | 40,965$14,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,618.34 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 37c | 37,250$13,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,438.43 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 38c | 29,000$10,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,090 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9ea5backed No | 54c | 29,000$15,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,660 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 36c | 28,631$10,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,190.36 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…bf65backed Yes | 56c | 26,979$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,979.28 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 35c | 24,641$8,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,119.01 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 35c | 20,704$7,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,485.74 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 34c | 20,019$6,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,129.14 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed Yes | 44c | 19,489$8,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,913.95 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 33c | 19,467$6,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,953.11 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 45c | 17,181$7,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,526.21 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 16c | 17,081$2,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.16 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 42c | 16,520$6,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,521.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd581…2b59backed Yes | 58c | 16,207$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,806.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 36c | 15,519$5,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,886.31 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c6…89b7backed Yes | 34c | 14,706$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,705.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Yes | 69c | 14,121$9,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,311.83 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 35c | 14,000$4,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,123.33 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7c…ef52backed Yes | 77c | 13,510$10,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.3 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes | 47c | 13,303$6,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,050.77 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 44c | 12,000$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 36c | 11,641$4,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,493.77 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…3e82backed Yes | 38c | 10,960$4,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,786.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 44c | 10,454$4,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,824.04 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…4fa2backed Yes | 62c | 10,324$6,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,882.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…864bbacked No | 71c | 10,280$7,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,294.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 35c | 10,248$3,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,625.7 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…9b4ebacked Yes | 34c | 10,210$3,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,738.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 38c | 10,061$3,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,284.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Yes | 38c | 9,033$3,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,629.8 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Yes | 36c | 8,525$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,462.23 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Yes | 47c | 8,510$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb724…2ccabacked Yes | 37c | 8,284$3,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,222.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 35c | 7,371$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,775.37 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.99 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 33c | 6,848$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,588.87 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Yes | 36c | 6,758$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,297.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yes | 60c | 6,671$3,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.62 | 280 | 42.9%120 W · 160 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 52c | 6,655$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,194.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 61c | 6,418$3,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,895.3 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 6,378$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.85 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…8b16backed No | 63c | 6,349$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 46c | 6,232$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,351.71 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Yes | 47c | 6,171$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270.83 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 34c | 5,949$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,948.58 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 36c | 5,795$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,725.64 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…e45cbacked Yes | 35c | 5,779$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,782.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +189.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Yes | 32c | 5,628$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.75 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 33c | 5,569$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,752.52 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf997…3146backed Yes | 45c | 5,516$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 37c | 5,512$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,472.32 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…1579backed Yes | 46c | 5,430$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,932.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…4aaabacked Yes | 40c | 5,304$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbc…ed7cbacked Yes | 57c | 5,272$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 38c | 5,094$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 67c | 5,088$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,407.35 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 37c | 5,017$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168.18 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Yes | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 54c | 4,879$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.45 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes | 60c | 4,765$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.4 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 44c | 4,740$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.98 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 42c | 4,324$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.91 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 36c | 4,000$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 23c | 3,914$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Yes | 41c | 3,855$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.75 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 32c | 3,845$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.18 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 40c | 3,750$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.5 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…a1aebacked Yes | 30c | 3,684$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 31c | 3,665$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 39c | 3,585$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.28 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…e31fbacked Yes | 37c | 3,512$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 37c | 3,470$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.3 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 54c | 3,440$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 47c | 3,373$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.9 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Yes | 42c | 3,227$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.59 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 35c | 3,174$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.29 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Yes | 42c | 3,100$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…6b94backed Yes | 36c | 3,073$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.04 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Yes | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…b235backed Yes | 35c | 2,900$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 39c | 2,831$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.52 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…9c72backed Yes | 53c | 2,807$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.04 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Yes | 36c | 2,727$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 58c | 2,645$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.59 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?this page
- Will Alex de Minaur win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Cameron Norrie win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Casper Ruud win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Holger Rune win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Jack Draper win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Karen Khachanov win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Sebastian Korda win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the 2025 US Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.