TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa924…9c72

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: World Politics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$530
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+222.6%+$222.58
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+541.3%+$546.74
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Red Bull have the second highest Constructor score at the Bahrain GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ferrari have the second highest Constructor score at the Bahrain GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+277.5%+$55.5
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 China Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+193.7%+$48.42
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+59.6%+$1,192.97
Will Red Bull win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$28
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Lando Norris win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+163.2%+$40.79
Will Charles Leclerc win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will Oscar Piastri win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wubacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros WTA: Donna Vekic vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$109.61
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jongbacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Roland Garros ATP: Eliot Spizzirri vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
Roland Garros ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$149.35
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+199.8%+$599.33
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Women's: Xinyu Wang vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+194.1%+$388.24
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Australian Open Men's: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$107.14
Australian Open Women's: Linda Noskova vs Xinyu Wangbacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+203%+$304.55
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+87.1%+$1,307.04
US Open Final: Sinner vs. Alcaraz? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+113.5%+$1,134.79
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$1,330.19
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick49cpaid-76.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$238.96
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+31.8%+$286.23
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$750.21
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+88.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+44.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+69.5%+$347.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.