Tennis · resolved market
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc45f6f5fcbc814bdcaf46b16eccfec63cef615cc364d75ad3f49f74e0afd3615
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,463,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,411,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,463,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,933 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 45c | 343,241$153,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153,610.84 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 51c | 315,357$160,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154,619.46 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed No | 58c | 244,002$142,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,553.69 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…7dd4backed Yes | 33c | 239,373$77,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,913.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 56c | 140,590$78,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,720.08 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 40c | 126,198$50,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,303.33 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yes | 51c | 118,613$60,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,568.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 49c | 118,187$57,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,385.72 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 48c | 114,046$54,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,266.43 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 61c | 103,926$63,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,016.87 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…34d9backed Yes | 49c | 101,241$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Yes | 46c | 96,868$44,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,300 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 55c | 79,042$43,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,961.06 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 50c | 74,057$37,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,774.33 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 39c | 67,346$26,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,264.82 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes | 47c | 66,793$31,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,394.03 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked No | 56c | 65,144$36,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,959.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 59,479$29,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,363.43 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 56c | 50,412$28,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,184.12 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…c933backed Yes | 44c | 45,838$20,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,109.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 60c | 43,569$25,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,628.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 60c | 42,883$25,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,212.24 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Yes | 50c | 39,900$19,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,950 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0584…de3ebacked Yes | 40c | 38,058$15,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,410.61 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc92a…35fbbacked Yes | 41c | 32,790$13,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,315.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 50c | 32,727$16,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,307.39 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 57c | 32,257$18,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,867.36 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 48c | 29,917$14,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,610.64 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6c…40adbacked No | 45c | 25,828$11,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,126.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc380…4e7cbacked Yes | 40c | 25,265$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Yes | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,999.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked No | 62c | 24,592$15,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,407.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 44c | 23,342$10,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,356.92 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 51c | 23,052$11,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,189.08 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 57c | 22,748$13,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,671.94 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked No | 47c | 22,361$10,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,817.57 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 51c | 22,311$11,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,940.48 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 42c | 21,795$9,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,179.78 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 46c | 21,632$10,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,040.62 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…c91ebacked Yes | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 52c | 20,000$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,650 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Yes | 53c | 18,754$9,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,955.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 51c | 18,462$9,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,126.4 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Yes | 52c | 17,730$9,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,194.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…00d8backed Yes | 54c | 17,618$9,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,513.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Yes | 54c | 17,412$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 45c | 17,068$7,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,631.82 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 44c | 16,980$7,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,471.2 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 52c | 16,745$8,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,728.32 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 55c | 16,000$8,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,719.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3710…12a9backed Yes | 65c | 15,566$10,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,094.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e6…8e83backed Yes | 46c | 15,538$7,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,154.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,099.99 | 644 | 55.3%356 W · 288 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked No | 72c | 14,000$10,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,873.33 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd581…2b59backed Yes | 45c | 13,911$6,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x759b…2ab3backed Yes | 52c | 13,881$7,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,269.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x638f…4de0backed Yes | 49c | 13,552$6,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,640.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…ce1bbacked Yes | 42c | 13,000$5,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,470 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 38c | 12,500$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed Yes | 41c | 12,436$5,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,097.88 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Yes | 42c | 12,305$5,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,158.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9066…f6acbacked Yes | 51c | 12,299$6,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,213.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…abcdbacked Yes | 54c | 12,222$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…5b90backed Yes | 44c | 12,001$5,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,242.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…8c70backed Yes | 42c | 11,907$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5f…ce01backed Yes | 53c | 11,590$6,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,127.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 52c | 11,111$5,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,777.72 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5f…cbbfbacked Yes | 34c | 11,100$3,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,747.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked No | 59c | 11,062$6,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,544.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cee…bf2dbacked Yes | 39c | 11,033$4,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,356.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 54c | 10,884$5,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,992.03 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 49c | 10,871$5,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,553.93 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…d744backed Yes | 17c | 10,804$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.19 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x619c…fe90backed Yes | 42c | 10,149$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,033.33 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 43c | 9,959$4,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,325.71 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…bf65backed Yes | 54c | 9,631$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49db…3d28backed Yes | 49c | 9,614$4,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,710.96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…9b4ebacked Yes | 51c | 9,545$4,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,907.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b5…192bbacked Yes | 39c | 9,523$3,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,707 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed Yes | 55c | 9,326$5,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,129.17 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes | 50c | 9,074$4,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,536.79 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…a134backed Yes | 44c | 8,985$3,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,953.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Yes | 11c | 8,944$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…b113backed Yes | 19c | 8,921$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.43 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 60c | 8,899$5,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,332.19 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 60c | 8,885$5,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,559.47 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed No | 63c | 8,878$5,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd200…06b1backed No | 52c | 8,846$4,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,210.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +317.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 53c | 8,819$4,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,638.22 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b2…3d6fbacked Yes | 46c | 8,662$3,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,987.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 50c | 8,507$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,244.22 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc2…8b96backed Yes | 44c | 8,466$3,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696.52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…2264backed Yes | 39c | 8,352$3,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,233.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 51c | 8,352$4,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,244.36 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x679c…f8ddbacked Yes | 43c | 8,313$3,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,602.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed No | 45c | 8,298$3,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,564.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 46c | 7,755$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,538.52 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 37c | 7,717$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.32 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048c…6853backed Yes | 5c | 7,330$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?this page
- Will Alex de Minaur win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Alexander Bublik win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Cameron Norrie win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Casper Ruud win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Denis Shapovalov win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Grigor Dimitrov win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Holger Rune win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?Yes won
- Will Karen Khachanov win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Matteo Berrettini win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Sebastian Korda win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Ugo Humbert win Wimbledon 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.