Tennis · resolved market
Will Alexander Bublik win Wimbledon 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39a0dc60f841d2a2970be7d090593386da5ddc26bcc151a1e4b56540bb59901e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $502,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $502,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac53…6133backed Yes | 0c | 111,622$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.88 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b8…b5f0backed Yes | 2c | 40,903$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.35 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Yes | 1c | 31,677$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.64 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 1c | 24,279$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.53 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 2c | 20,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…f52cbacked Yes | 3c | 12,892$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 12,115$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…8b01backed Yes | 2c | 11,611$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.39 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -52%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfc…b035backed Yes | 2c | 9,561$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.67 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 2c | 9,524$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.71 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 2c | 9,465$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.11 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 0c | 9,219$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835e…3dfdbacked Yes | 3c | 7,701$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…cb74backed Yes | 1c | 7,662$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 2c | 7,555$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.44 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Yes | 4c | 6,850$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.98 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…a91fbacked Yes | 3c | 6,225$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Yes | 2c | 5,412$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…ab48backed Yes | 2c | 5,239$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 2c | 5,025$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,695$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 2c | 4,574$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…6b39backed Yes | 2c | 4,281$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…616ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,088$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 3,907$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…98a6backed Yes | 3c | 3,575$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,442$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed Yes | 2c | 2,900$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab9…7e40backed Yes | 3c | 2,500$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…cfc1backed Yes | 2c | 2,381$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,377$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…52e3backed Yes | 2c | 2,352$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…d94dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,308$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 2c | 2,222$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 3c | 2,007$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…935cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,915$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ce…6b46backed Yes | 3c | 1,730$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea1…c46fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,711$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes | 2c | 1,701$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605b…df31backed Yes | 3c | 1,506$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…5f40backed Yes | 3c | 1,427$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…b301backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…3629backed Yes | 2c | 1,122$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc85…24b3backed Yes | 2c | 1,046$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Yes | 2c | 1,003$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +12.2wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +399.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x73b5…8763backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1680…3ac0backed Yes | 2c | 909.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…776cbacked Yes | 3c | 896.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…d38bbacked Yes | 2c | 858.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…613cbacked Yes | 2c | 830$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef5d…12e7backed Yes | 3c | 740.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…7998backed Yes | 1c | 691.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecc…8422backed Yes | 3c | 660.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…d4d8backed Yes | 2c | 649.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888a…c369backed Yes | 3c | 592.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…817cbacked Yes | 2c | 496.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 3c | 383$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alexander Bublik win Wimbledon 2025?this page
- Will Alex de Minaur win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Cameron Norrie win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Casper Ruud win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Denis Shapovalov win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Grigor Dimitrov win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Holger Rune win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?Yes won
- Will Karen Khachanov win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Matteo Berrettini win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Sebastian Korda win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Ugo Humbert win Wimbledon 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.