TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6332…6128

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
158
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT10839.8%43 W · 65 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP Umag – Taberner vs. Darderibacked Taberner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
ATP Kitzbuhel – Bublik vs. Cazauxbacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$325.88
ATP Washington D.C – Fritz vs. Davidovich Fokinabacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,125.19
ATP Washington D.C – Medvedev vs. Moutetbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,097.47
ATP Kitzbuhel – Cazaux vs. Rinderknechbacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,164Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+67.1%+$781.06
Wimbledon: Bencic vs. Swiatek (W) backed Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) backed Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+137.1%+$112.71
Wimbledon: Cobolli vs. Djokovic backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$253.2
Wimbledon: Andreeva vs. Bencic (W) backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,431Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,430.74
Wimbledon: Anisimova vs. Pavlyuchenkovabacked Pavlyuchenkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Siegemundbacked Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$207.8
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov backed Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$471.7
Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. Tauson (W) backed Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Sonego backed Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.43
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Djokovic backed De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Cobolli backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,012Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+57.3%+$579.25
Wimbledon: Jarry vs. Norrie backed Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$293.36
Wimbledon: Sierra vs. Siegemund (W)backed Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+67.6%+$289.97
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Munar backed Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.79
Wimbledon: Dimitrov vs. Ofnerbacked Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Wimbledon: Bencic vs. Cocciaretto (W) backed Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+252.6%+$252.59
Wimbledon: Struff vs. Alcaraz backed Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon: Jarry vs. Fonseca backed Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$992.62
Wimbledon: Majchrzak vs. Rinderknechbacked Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,352Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+109%+$1,472.69
Wimbledon: Rublev vs. Mannarinobacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$270
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+38.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+145.7%+$102.79
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$128.82
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+77%+$92.41
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$254.99
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$222.58
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$194.12
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$202.2
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fluminense vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,376Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+78.8%+$1,084.86
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Dortmund (To Advance) backed Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Real Madrid vs. Dortmund: 3+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$152.7
Will Fluminense win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Benfica vs. Bayern Munich: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.7
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Mamelodi Sundowns?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+46.5%+$273.17
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Fluminense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Fluminense vs. Borussia Dortmund: 3+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$420.78
Chelsea vs. LAFC: 4+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$501.62
All 10 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Inter Milan beat Torino? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+70.9%+$425.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona beat Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.