Music · resolved market
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0684e62941f1f498a6835bee5a7d1d847e1351e04742c6a3dac0f295c0d8e1a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 39c | 32,432$12,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,735.91 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef2…e986backed Yes | 41c | 30,128$12,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,352.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…b05cbacked No | 59c | 30,128$17,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,352.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked No | 65c | 15,126$9,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,241.9 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 59c | 3,620$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.34 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 59c | 3,550$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.5 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 51c | 3,112$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.86 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 50c | 2,299$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.99 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 51c | 2,094$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…3930backed No | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 52c | 1,727$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.67 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Yes | 59c | 1,350$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.5 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 49c | 1,229$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.3 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed No | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 68c | 1,190$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 52c | 1,125$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.47 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6b…fdbbbacked Yes | 48c | 1,056$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed No | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.94 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa890…1c30backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f67…15c4backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca8…9779backed Yes | 42c | 995$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked No | 54c | 871.47$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed No | 51c | 814.07$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 47c | 765.01$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.58 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 67c | 700$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…ad2abacked Yes | 51c | 699.99$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 52c | 650.1$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.82 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 52c | 638.52$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.31 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 43c | 631.1$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.62 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd67…e79fbacked Yes | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 51c | 586.59$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.09 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 62c | 569.35$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…fc19backed Yes | 33c | 560$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 47c | 549.98$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.82 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed Yes | 52c | 500$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 48c | 492.87$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed No | 53c | 489.49$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7e…474ebacked Yes | 57c | 463.55$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 41c | 442.89$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…5cc9backed Yes | 33c | 435$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecd…0486backed Yes | 33c | 435$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked No | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…4cbbbacked Yes | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144d…f0f2backed Yes | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes | 51c | 399.95$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.81 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed No | 35c | 381.49$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.41 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 56c | 347.31$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.94 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 66c | 309.09$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.22 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…5e3cbacked No | 67c | 305$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed No | 52c | 300.95$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b5…b437backed No | 67c | 295$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c84…9296backed No | 67c | 290$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…7a5fbacked No | 67c | 290$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8550…c421backed No | 67c | 290$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 58c | 269.8$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.14 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 58c | 258.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 58c | 254.58$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.06 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4c…a1fcbacked Yes | 45c | 253.03$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…96bbbacked Yes | 59c | 243.24$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed Yes | 54c | 237.48$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.96 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…d34bbacked No | 43c | 234.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed No | 46c | 219.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85f2…5990backed Yes | 57c | 208.83$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…b3f8backed No | 67c | 205$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4e7dbacked No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…458dbacked No | 40c | 199.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.91 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 36c | 196.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed No | 67c | 195.55$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.03 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…c1c2backed No | 57c | 189.51$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcb…36f0backed Yes | 70c | 189.29$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…2db1backed Yes | 59c | 187.19$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 29cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e7…b0f7backed No | 49c | 182.44$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.44 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 52c | 174$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.22 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbc…96a6backed Yes | 58c | 172.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked No | 57c | 170.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Yes | 60c | 167.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 43c | 165.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Yes | 62c | 150$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 63c | 149.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…fedbbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 58c | 139.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4553…f8d6backed Yes | 41c | 122.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 48c | 120.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f33…b313backed No | 67c | 115$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd620…f1fdbacked No | 67c | 115$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801f…ea09backed No | 48c | 114$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…62a1backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 42c | 103.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed Yes | 46c | 100.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 50c | 91.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 42c | 91.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?this page
- Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Armenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Australia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Belgium finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Cyprus finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Czechia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Denmark finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Georgia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Iceland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Lithuania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Luxembourg finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Norway finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Slovenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Spain finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will United Kingdom finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.