TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8393…f0ae

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
286
Categories scored
44
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT2853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+43.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Parma: Alycia Parks vs Mary Stoianabacked Mary Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.75
Paris: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.08
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$492
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskovabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$686
Madrid Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Tommy Paulbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$868
Abidjan: Karim Bennani vs Paul Jubbbacked Karim Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$114.79
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Gael Monfilsbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.57
Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$538.96
Madrid Open: Martin Landaluce vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$292.04
Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.6
Madrid Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$196.72
Madrid Open: Terence Atmane vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.28
Gwangju: Liam Broady vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.63
Madrid Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Royerbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$365.13
Savannah: Stefan Kozlov vs Nick Hardtbacked Nick Hardt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$101.85
Madrid Open: Talia Gibson vs Emiliana Arangobacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,248Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,298.87
Madrid Open, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.4
Shymkent: Sergey Fomin vs Vladyslav Orlovbacked Vladyslav Orlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Madrid Open, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Sloane Stephensbacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$852.43
Shymkent: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Sean Cueninbacked Buvaysar Gadamauri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$312.95
Shymkent: Tomasz Berkieta vs Jelle Selsbacked Jelle Sels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$262.6
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+525%+$1,008
Oeiras 3: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Max Houkesbacked Max Houkes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.2
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$17.06
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.1
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.98
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+325.5%+$160.65
Will Sweden be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$71.76
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+82.7%+$82.39
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.57
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+120.7%+$118.11
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+77.5%+$72.05
Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.69
Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.9
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+29.1%+$22.26
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.4
Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.51
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+74.9%+$73.09
Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.64
Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$20.35
Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.6
Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$35.2
Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+26%+$33.86
Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.67
Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$26.4
Will Iceland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.89
Will Ireland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Belgium finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$13.75
All 24 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.24
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.33
LoL: TITANS vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffsbacked TITANS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.98
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.85
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,008.32
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$401.12
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$219.3
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$36.4
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$375.33
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$791.94
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.98
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
LoL: Galions vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Esprit Shōnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$152
LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$160.21
LoL: Lodis vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked devils.one · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.21
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.65
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$412.12
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$136.21
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.53
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs mCon esports (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked mCon esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.99
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.41
Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$75.41
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$155.16
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$32.68
Will Cătălin Cîrstoiu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.07
Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.46
Will Catherine Connolly win by 5–10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will turnout be between 5.8 million and 6.2 million in the 2025 Bolivia Presidential Election second round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$21.87
Will Motoristé get less than 3% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.99
Will Motoristé get between 3% and 5% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.48
Will SPD get between 7% and 10% of the vote in the Czech election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$299.99
Will Přísaha get between 3% and 5% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.92
Will Starostové get between 7% and 10% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.29
Will SPD get between 13% and 16% of the vote in the Czech election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+55.3%+$25.96
Will turnout be between 63% and 66% in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.94
Will turnout be between 60% and 63% in the Czech election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$57.06
Will turnout be between 66% and 69% in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$64.35
Starostové (STAN) wins 10% or more of vote in Czech election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$177.49
SPOLU wins 20% or more of vote in Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Pirates wins 10% or more of vote in Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.54
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$24.15
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Fine Gael win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$18.24
All 23 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2020%4 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-64.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+32.7%+$18.5
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.3
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.79
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$299.98
Trump deploys National Guard to a blue city by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+25%+$21.4
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$682.5
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.24
Will $Trump FDV be $50b or more on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30.9
Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada in his first week? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST+59.2%+$178.08
Trump positive favorability on inauguration day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$45.05
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$575
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$784Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$784
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$102
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$369.21
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$330.31
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$5,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$5,745.78
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$4,376Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$4,375.64
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$798.78
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$503.06
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$3,486Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$3,485.54
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick18cpaid-27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$87.41
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.97
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$637
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,072Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,309.65
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$882Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$918
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$588
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.71
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$215.42
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$891.53
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,113.96
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$3,251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,251.44
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$853Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$852.77
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$269.91
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$258
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.52
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$400.66
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$132
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$220.47
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$776.65
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,330Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+89%+$3,853.16
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,209Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+115.2%+$6,001.21
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,257Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+166%+$5,406.16
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13,556Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+25.8%+$3,491.87
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,661Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+29.5%+$489.69
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$84.35
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+25%+$20
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$656.21
Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$480.29
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,247Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,246.54
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$42.29
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$133.93
Israel x Syria security deal before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.12
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$300
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+51.6%+$74.6
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$73.23
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$948Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$252
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.13
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.22
West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.03
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.95
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.61
Leicester City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$556.25
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$168
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$352.9
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.98
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.98
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$888Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$328.43
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.99
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.84
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)backed Ipswich Town FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.98
All 16 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.38
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$324.73
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$620.6
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$130.37
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$246
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.54
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.66
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$646.4
Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$78.78
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.08
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-85.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ro Khanna advance from the CA-17 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$30.32
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.99
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$57.2
Will Tim Keller win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.9
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 24–27%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will a Democrat win Texas US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,699Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$1,698.53
Will a Democrat win Montana US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$88.8
Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$648
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+59.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+718.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+45.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+69.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,345Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,056.84
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$742.52
All 3 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+638.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saski Baskonia vs. Barcelonabacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.23
Ningbo Rockets vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$99.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.55
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$176.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$79.73
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,101.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+102%+$257.71
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavlbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+455.6%+$200.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+385.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+385.7%+$107.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$206.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$572.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$754.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,462Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+53%+$1,304.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Merck & Co (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$94.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.