Asian League · resolved market
Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c5f360b63af6e800855d4f518a822e7b1d6d66c4d9de7fe7df6e769466dab83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 58c | 4,500$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.96 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 42c | 2,173$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.51 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Over | 42c | 926.05$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.85 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 831.93$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.92 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 42c | 662.4$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.19 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Over | 47c | 636.61$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 72c | 553.23$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.43 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 45c | 452.8$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.04 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 55c | 410.69$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.88 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 56c | 279.58$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.56 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…5ecdbacked Over | 47c | 217.02$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 54c | 188.89$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 42c | 186.74$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.31 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Over | 46c | 145.89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 57c | 130.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 57c | 118.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 114.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e7…3f3fbacked Under | 58c | 65.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed Over | 43c | 60.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +7.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Under | 38c | 29.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…0d57backed Over | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 56c | 26.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 44c | 23.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 54c | 21.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 47c | 21.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…ed74backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-2.5)FC Seoul won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.