Asian League · resolved market
Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7c7d0d373df067a22cba997c7f6a5d1fa31b3fa752298a4a0cd29479b2f1f54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 36c | 712.82$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.71 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 64c | 673.94$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.32 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 55c | 361.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.46 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 68c | 304.51$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.14 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 215.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Over | 74c | 168$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 49c | 131.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 46c | 93.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 76c | 91.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…0559backed Under | 76c | 57.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed Under | 57c | 43.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…d9a5backed Over | 58c | 37.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 57c | 34.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 50c | 32.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 49c | 22.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 21.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 49c | 20.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…ed74backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1d…7132backed Under | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-2.5)FC Seoul won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.