TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60e7…3f3f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.06
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+513.5%+$1,026.99
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$635
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$207.99
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$113.16
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$463
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.33
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$457.83
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$597.22
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.88
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$734.48
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$352
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$265.12
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$425.93
Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$690.48
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$389.79
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.68
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+352.7%+$172.84
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-43.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ulsan HD FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.56
Gwangju FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.74
Gwangju FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.25
Will V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Gamba Ōsaka end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+53%+$25.96
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Cerezo Ōsaka end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.36
Kawasaki Frontale vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.49
Gangwon FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.32
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+203.7%+$97.75
Will FC Anyang vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$23.37
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.19
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.63
Will Gamba Ōsaka vs. Fagiano Okayama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$9.94
Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.53
Will West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.56
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.05
West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.19
Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.72
Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$970
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.06
Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.12
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+54.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Will FC Augsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$55.98
1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$26.4
Hertha BSC vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$135.99
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. SV Darmstadt 98 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.81
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+389.9%+$109.74
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$28.27
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.42
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-63.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.17
Will Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.6
Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.41
Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.47
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$14.85
Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-1.5)backed Central Coast Mariners FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
All 8 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Blood in Game 3?backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
First Blood in Game 2?backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)backed OGC Nice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
FC Lorient vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.