Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80ece2fdc6bba3490cf4215d41f4f2e6051ca63cde2bdfd19d69513e68f5d53a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stade Rennais FC 1901of Stade Rennais FC 1901, OGC Nice
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,531 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 41c | 1,980$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.28 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked OGC Nice | 36c | 1,016$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.46 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 19c | 184.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.21 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 19c | 121.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 19c | 80$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…66e2backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 43c | 59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 18c | 56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e7…3f3fbacked OGC Nice | 41c | 49.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked OGC Nice | 57c | 34.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked OGC Nice | 57c | 24.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)this page
- OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Over won
- OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Over won
- OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: OGC Nice (-2.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.