Ligue 1 · resolved market
OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe8cdc869c0c441276700abf343a08d0c18738ef307691255d0a982e4a9627ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,804 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 2,799$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.23 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 61c | 1,636$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 68c | 1,176$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.68 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 62c | 769.81$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.26 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4052…0014backed Yes | 55c | 612.05$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 55c | 545$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 35c | 486.81$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.38 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 34c | 325.25$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.24 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 37c | 323.25$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.96 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x142e…f6e4backed Yes | 63c | 322.22$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 307.6$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.79 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 36c | 152.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 37c | 124.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 35c | 88.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…7fdfbacked Yes | 68c | 70.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 75c | 57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…8f3bbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…afe2backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…f93bbacked Yes | 62c | 43.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 37c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 71c | 27.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 45c | 26.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Yes | 61c | 17.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Yes | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Over won
- OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Over won
- OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: OGC Nice (-2.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.