TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa506…f93b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: La Liga, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.69
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+42.2%+$6.33
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.45
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100%+$10
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Everton FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.63
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+44.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$10.84
RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$30.41
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25%+$25
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+86.1%+$17.22
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.17
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.87
AC Milan vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$18.93
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
OGC Nice vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Lille OSC vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)backed Hamburger SV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.82
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.