TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,634
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,619

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,634 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8627…5382backed No72c25,000$18,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,0504148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No74c13,878$10,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,269.436142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes40c11,784$4,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,043.382,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes26c9,417$2,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,968.561,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes57c7,723$4,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,326.276,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No74c6,946$5,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,140.069763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes26c5,769$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,269.0612949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes27c5,556$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,055.561915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d9…6964backed Yes27c4,444$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,244.441216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No73c3,000$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.8620448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe427…c02bbacked Yes27c2,270$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.371040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No74c2,101$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55515757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.966759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes27c1,854$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.827433.8%25 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Yes36c1,800$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1522277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+29.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes26c1,718$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.9916050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No3c1,666$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7877336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes27c1,441$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.746437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes26c1,333$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.4272249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No74c1,320$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.814856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked No39c1,270$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.114138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes34c1,174$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.4910053%53 W · 47 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c1,147$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.651,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes27c1,111$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.1124047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes27c1,111$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.114731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No57c1,001$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.4727141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Yes26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74013151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Yes26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74010951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4c…71d2backed Yes27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No21c995.35$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.8796645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No23c973.59$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5561143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c948$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.041,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes75c930.48$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.942,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a8c…f872backed Yes70c856.71$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.01450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No69c824.7$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.2960445.4%274 W · 330 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed No74c800$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5922454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes67c766.13$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.164,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes63c757.41$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.61,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked No41c733.13$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2116…d3c2backed No7c700$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c636.25$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.862,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes26c623.31$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.3552454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf43b…7bc6backed Yes27c613.28$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked No45c556.52$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked No74c549.32$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.51752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37096443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701,24042.2%523 W · 717 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa065…00d4backed Yes27c473.5$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ac…b570backed Yes27c456.12$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid+23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb3b…4b00backed Yes27c453.31$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+76.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f46…fcb5backed Yes27c426.31$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.21475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+106.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes27c411.11$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.112941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked No30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No14c399.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5515735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes27c382$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.8638233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No63c362.36$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.8636954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0c39…ca9dbacked Yes64c356.51$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.514141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.834431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No12c313$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3661441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No11c305.02$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6543241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes26c300$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22230050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Yes36c280.14$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.293630.6%11 W · 25 L-6.4wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-37.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes27c278.41$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.2412236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes37c270.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2913327.1%36 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes67c259.36$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8245142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No73c253.57$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.391,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes27c250$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.527846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed8…7b1ebacked No74c244.21$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x932a…9c18backed No74c234.29$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Yes27c212$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.763043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14619235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+45.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1468831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14611923.5%28 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1483426.5%9 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked Yes16c200$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1683116.1%5 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee02…8132backed Yes16c200$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x340c…0ecbbacked No74c198.5$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.191963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+45.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.193125.8%8 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f1e…a497backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes27c184.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3719426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed No74c183$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.423040%12 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb0…fafcbacked Yes27c180.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.083129%9 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid+16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dda…e7a7backed No74c180.49$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Yes27c178.57$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.362552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ce…d3ecbacked No74c175.76$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75c9…9205backed Yes29c173.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.241060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed No36c170$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.794057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a0f…8e1dbacked No74c168.74$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb977…aa8ebacked No74c168.58$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+59.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes27c166.67$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6716233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No42c165$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0616548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aff…5f17backed No61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.256056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfca2…c244backed No74c150.84$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3773…57f9backed No74c148.26$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7130%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes27c148.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1515534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.