TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0391…ef9b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
192
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 60 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4812.5%6 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+628.3%+$7,505.82
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,243.68
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.94
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.92
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.36
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.09
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.35
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.3
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.63
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.98
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.75
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.69
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Galatasaray reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$75.44
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT3125.8%8 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+405.1%+$121.52
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+566.7%+$396.67
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+270.4%+$135.19
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Everton FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Everton FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$128.57
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+488.2%+$195.29
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+293.3%+$234.63
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2619.2%5 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$525.8
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+814.3%+$8,127
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$756.25
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.24
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$649.83
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$116.67
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.25
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.5
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kosovo vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.69
Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+684.6%+$162.19
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT2412.5%3 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.89
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 2 - 1 Aston Villa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$182.7
Will Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.62
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AZ: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.66
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.48
Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$161.82
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+455.6%+$455.56
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$241.32
All 24 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick18cpaid+114.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+1,119.3%+$279.83
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+270.4%+$189.26
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+900%+$450
AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+354.5%+$177.27
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$380
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+284.6%+$113.85
Will Juventus FC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.21
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+257.1%+$102.86
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+455.6%+$296.11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$340
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$300.93
All 15 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+57.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+525%+$157.5
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$213.16
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Will SC Braga vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick27cpaid+150.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.