Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77b7205b8d72e3f645bc5b5edb65d50f05423e74e99094b42b4e39a1c70db7fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 1c | 25,271$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.1 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x413a…0008backed No | 2c | 13,328$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 3c | 5,317$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.55 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed No | 4c | 5,025$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…c4a9backed No | 1c | 4,127$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 4c | 3,750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 2c | 3,153$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7222…4f43backed No | 4c | 2,918$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c68…6100backed No | 4c | 2,857$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 3c | 2,251$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…5177backed No | 2c | 2,137$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 2,100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 67c | 2,029$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.88 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 1c | 1,791$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c11…778fbacked No | 1c | 1,468$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…70a3backed No | 4c | 1,397$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 2c | 1,387$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…f3d3backed No | 1c | 1,130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 32c | 1,075$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.43 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9e…b594backed No | 2c | 1,001$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0c…00f4backed No | 5c | 999.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 990.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 6c | 913.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef4e…a79abacked No | 3c | 874.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…c57fbacked No | 1c | 869$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafe…0074backed No | 2c | 837.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 3c | 809.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x643b…cd1cbacked No | 4c | 684$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc01e…80f9backed No | 4c | 672.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…bbc1backed No | 2c | 665.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…b53bbacked No | 3c | 645.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…0ecdbacked No | 3c | 600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 54c | 582.26$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.26 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x955a…3ea2backed No | 3c | 566.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba72…143bbacked Yes | 70c | 450.74$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.21 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 3c | 445.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…2ca9backed No | 6c | 438.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…9f4abacked No | 4c | 436.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd681…4c5abacked No | 3c | 427.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 38c | 423.25$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 411.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked No | 3c | 360.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a9…e894backed No | 4c | 353.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0323…a333backed No | 3c | 344.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…962dbacked Yes | 73c | 343.04$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e25…504bbacked No | 3c | 327.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed No | 4c | 303.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39ff…d637backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a3…225bbacked No | 5c | 261.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 5c | 234$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 9c | 224.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…6a64backed No | 5c | 204.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbc…3132backed No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…9782backed No | 15c | 110.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d36…9155backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed Yes | 67c | 35.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 37c | 32.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…1b5fbacked Yes | 66c | 22.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…2394backed Yes | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Yes | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?this page
- Will Arsenal be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Aston Villa be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Bournemouth be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Brentford be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Brighton be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Yes won
- Will Chelsea be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Everton be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Fulham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Liverpool be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Man City be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Newcastle be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.