TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xba72…143b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst F1 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.26
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$119.88
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$137.21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$258.54
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$111.29
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Will Manchester United vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$77.27
Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$18
All 21 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1625%4 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-39.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
F1 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30.33
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+61%+$108.44
Will Max Verstappen finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$60.92
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.85
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.68
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.5
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.49
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.64
F1 Azerbaijan GP: Piastri vs. Norrisbacked Piastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
F1 Italian Grand Prix: Red Bull vs. Ferraribacked Ferrari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
F1 Italian GP: Verstappen vs. Piastribacked Piastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
F1 Dutch GP: Verstappen vs. Norris backed Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$70
F1 Dutch GP: Alonso vs. Stroll backed Stroll · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+192%+$43.97
F1 Dutch GP: Piastri vs. Norris backed Piastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+64.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$34.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.