TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,335
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,335 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes17c6,459$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.3115233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea4…23f6backed Yes36c4,754$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0d8…7405backed Yes7c3,598$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked No79c3,432$2,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.32837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd739…25b1backed Yes7c3,195$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.53933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf423…b241backed Yes12c2,927$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No73c2,916$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.945160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea1…c38ebacked Yes10c2,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd1f…ea7abacked Yes18c1,635$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66cc…e4b4backed Yes14c1,543$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.021241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No67c1,372$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.883844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No79c1,334$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.81742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Yes16c1,200$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19211448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes13c1,199$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.813821.1%8 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes19c1,167$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.779828.6%28 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e66…668fbacked Yes10c972.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No75c956$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.062941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No73c915.5$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.617343.8%32 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Yes29c859.47$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.253321.2%7 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-48.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes26c800$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7222…4f43backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes29c699.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004330.2%13 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-6.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes7c691$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.63358.6%3 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes17c666.65$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105750.9%29 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes12c658.67$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1920819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe306…d100backed Yes20c658.27$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.052138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc21e…0215backed No71c640.22$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.51060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd32c…668fbacked Yes16c618.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d27…e159backed Yes4c608$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3fd…dc2abacked Yes30c600$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed No69c557.82$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.287447.3%35 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed Yes16c540$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.041216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-58.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x19ac…afc4backed Yes14c539.15$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x277b…f52cbacked Yes5c523.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3846…029abacked No70c504.64$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.491822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-59.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf40…38b8backed No76c493.28$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes14c481.44$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7510234.3%35 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a4…31eebacked Yes5c460$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-57%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x298b…8a90backed Yes22c458.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-44.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46b4…72e9backed Yes17c439$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1240%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x643c…3fc2backed Yes6c414$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.77714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-81%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37ec…9893backed Yes34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf934…8858backed Yes25c400$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…4377backed Yes7c382.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.072646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes13c351.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.972339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb772…7b07backed Yes16c320$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.03333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-46%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes16c318.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018239.6%72 W · 110 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes27c309.88$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.062037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No74c306.99$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3524044.2%106 W · 134 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes24c305.15$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.184712.8%6 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-46.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x553f…fc48backed Yes7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9953…4fa0backed Yes35c288.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe855…36dabacked Yes18c270.47$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.39650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65a5…c836backed Yes9c268.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes25c259.71$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8341437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes14c250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512450.8%63 W · 61 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x990b…9534backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes11c227.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.092119%4 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No71c226.56$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5207…686bbacked No75c219.52$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.411546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba72…143bbacked Yes30c210$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc062…cc13backed Yes13c202.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8280%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205851.7%30 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ede…c417backed Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+49.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked No68c199.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645038%19 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No78c199.96$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.132147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No78c199.7$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4829158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc0…a2f1backed Yes26c195.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02b4…5efabacked Yes22c194.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed No80c192.78$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.341346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…5269backed Yes27c185.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcea8…1f9fbacked Yes33c181.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f74…31aabacked Yes6c175.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes10c170$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick17cpaid-17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e9d…1e4bbacked Yes6c164.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e93…2f9dbacked Yes12c163.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7be4…8477backed Yes11c160$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-66.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee2…256dbacked Yes13c156.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No70c156.02$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8120040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes18c156$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0822834.2%78 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes26c154.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4150%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes8c152.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.76544.6%29 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad1a…311bbacked Yes35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe23b…c1e5backed Yes22c146.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.19728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-44.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b30…29a4backed Yes8c141.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes17c134.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2336036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes18c130$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320425%51 W · 153 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…5732backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No72c123.83$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.712050%60 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb651…2089backed Yes32c121$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.161136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid-16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c4…0216backed Yes9c120$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe598…e6f0backed Yes25c119.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d2…3bf0backed Yes26c116.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eda…d453backed Yes32c112.49$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.351643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a6…504fbacked Yes20c110$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-51.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc7…5536backed No75c104$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.71323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-60.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5739…b180backed Yes14c102$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.28333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae8…5a42backed Yes27c100.35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9950%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2727846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252030%6 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.