Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f4ef814336a3bc7b136a9ad512a961709ad622e71a3ef13f97cd05b1ab4224c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,316 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 5 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…ae86backed Yes | 1c | 1,519$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…029abacked Yes | 19c | 77.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d39…c90abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 73c | 16.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?this page
- Will Arsenal be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Aston Villa be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Bournemouth be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Brentford be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Brighton be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Yes won
- Will Chelsea be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Everton be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Liverpool be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Man City be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Newcastle be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.