Will Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf01b1ada86216a09a784fc3b33a8ea5fbd670654e761d4e1ffbab260a918fbf

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $287,762
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $467,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,762 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	0c	11,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-79.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b99…9f1dbacked Yes	1c	10,171$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd291…2db7backed Yes	1c	10,145$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No	78c	1,898$1,488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.56	76	57.9%44 W · 32 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e9…d76abacked Yes	2c	1,673$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0cfa…d4c1backed Yes	2c	1,651$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0cec…8cc3backed Yes	1c	1,578$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	118	55.1%65 W · 53 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed Yes	27c	961.84$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.08	74	47.3%35 W · 39 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes	53c	740.72$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.58	134	49.3%66 W · 68 L	-9.7wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Yes	11c	708.17$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.62	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+3.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked Yes	32c	679.9$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.57	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	31c	677.57$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.8	138	32.6%45 W · 93 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85ae…af16backed No	46c	547.99$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.99	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+119.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes	2c	524.76$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	79c	505.17$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.76	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes	64c	489.29$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.15	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x924d…3429backed No	56c	478.51$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.51	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	48c	430$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.2	208	19.2%40 W · 168 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked No	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e37…03d2backed Yes	36c	320.48$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	+39%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	10c	286.27$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.69	203	7.4%15 W · 188 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No	48c	230.06$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.7	428	62.4%267 W · 161 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed22…b504backed No	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+71.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked Yes	13c	200$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.9	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes	7c	172.88$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	+10.3wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed No	78c	164.42$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.76	121	49.6%60 W · 61 L	+8.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+95.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5903…f218backed No	66c	153.48$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.92	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	36c	111.45$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.12	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b6…3f65backed No	50c	101$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+102%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3846…029abacked Yes	35c	97$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.58	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.17per pick	39cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa261…da11backed No	78c	69.06$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.52	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.14per pick	63cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c57…eb35backed No	63c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.2	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8c9…74f1backed No	43c	57.22$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.57	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.40per pick	27cpaid	+81.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9afd…3028backed Yes	54c	56.94$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06b9…fb44backed No	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-67%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes	54c	43.58$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.44	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed No	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bb9…a025backed No	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4343…056fbacked No	47c	31.91$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.91	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3203…d145backed No	47c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.9	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69d7…d1e3backed No	79c	25.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.32	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe097…d399backed No	50c	24.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.11	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Yes	57c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06af…3741backed No	77c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.6	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event