TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,112 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x52a9…4caebacked Yes1c4,630$37 inLost-$37.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes8c2,800$214 inLost-$21420819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1356…a4bcbacked Yes1c1,694$20 inLost-$20.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1622…e4f8backed Yes1c1,642$23 inLost-$22.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes1c949.89$12 inLost-$11.772119%4 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes8c490$41 inLost-$40.952037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe18…8637backed Yes10c202.36$20 inLost-$19.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost-$1150%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3846…029abacked Yes21c93.67$20 inLost-$201822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-59.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed No70c54.67$39 inWon+$16.167447.3%35 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed No76c25$19 inWon+$6.051442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No68c20.61$14 inWon+$6.620040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.