TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb6a2…4b66

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
514
Categories scored
42
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: World Politics, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 59 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT7225%18 W · 54 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+334.1%+$40.95
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.34
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+275.2%+$60.74
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C or higher on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or below on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+477.3%+$136.03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.54
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.57
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.01
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.19
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.59
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+551%+$276.83
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+198.7%+$88.57
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C or higher on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+239%+$30.4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.66
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+204.5%+$33.62
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+194.7%+$112.88
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.38
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.39
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.09
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+325.2%+$248.28
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.57
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.68
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT5831%18 W · 40 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick19cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.81
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+229.2%+$25.52
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Will Vesna – Green Party (Vesna) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+294.2%+$41.73
Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.54
Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.59
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.26
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+117.3%+$26.48
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 10 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.27
Will the People Power Party win 0 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.94
Will the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$33.52
Will the People Power Party win less than or equal to 1 seat in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Will the People Power Party win 4 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+1,576.5%+$670.21
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 8 or 9 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+162.9%+$20.76
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the most seats in South Korea’s 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Will Andrey Gyurov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.47
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+261.4%+$52.82
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.05
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+147.5%+$15.33
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+519.8%+$505.81
Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
Will voter turnout be <65% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$3.01
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+354.1%+$274.73
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT387.9%3 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-71.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.52
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.62
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.62
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$27.23
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Will "Love is Blind: The Reunion" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
Will Ryan Gosling attend the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.1
Will Kevin Hart attend the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Connor Storrie attend the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
Will Taylor Swift attend the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.81
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.34
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$768Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$767.71
Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.76
Will Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.21
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.66
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.61
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will Marty Supreme win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.98
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+567.9%+$798.36
Will Zendaya attend the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+161.2%+$32.92
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.07
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,867.6%+$10,882.03
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.85
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+303.5%+$1,368.97
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.63
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.56
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+169%+$281.38
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.14
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.15
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.16
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.04
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.42
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.42
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.24
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$717Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$716.53
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.87
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.16
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$601.92
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.5
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$615.48
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.61
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.55
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.29
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.26
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.93
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+433.3%+$249.17
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.08
Will Julian Alvarez be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,057.88
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$751Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$750.95
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.58
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
Will Erling Haaland be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.12
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+440.9%+$60.73
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.02
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+57.1%+$12.09
Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+91.6%+$23.64
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+114.1%+$27.37
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$32.21
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27.78
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+367.8%+$140.64
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.35
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.2%+$10.12
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.51
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$33.46
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT229.1%2 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+268.3%+$175.71
Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will White House post 120-139 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.18
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$41.04
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$228.58
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$103.84
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$73.38
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$156.53
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$63.68
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$57.72
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15.71
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11.15
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$31.53
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+1,594.5%+$723.49
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20.65
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$32.64
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$55.21
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$214.34
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$14.92
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$163.5
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$89.55
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$19.69
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2119%4 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.1
Will Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.78
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.73
Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$168.03
Will Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.81
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.34
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.09
Will Manchester City finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.13
Will Everton finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.13
Will Arsenal finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.82
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.06
Will Brentford be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Will Robert De Zerbi be appointed as manager of Tottenham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+156.2%+$166.2
Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.03
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+290.4%+$38.73
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23.96
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+499.4%+$317.44
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-60%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$426.91
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.41
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$782.96
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$675.04
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,205.88
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.34
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$831Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$830.95
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.33
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+338.7%+$1,150.94
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+221.9%+$220.6
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.76
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.79
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.64
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.45
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Capitals vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.28
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.94
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-51.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.21
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.39
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$402.07
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.94
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.37
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+246.8%+$27.33
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$34.99
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.45
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.8%+$59.98
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$27.06
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.37
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20.9
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.67
Will Dharmendra be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$34.94
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-59.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.69
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.06
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.12
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.31
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.62
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.99
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+261.3%+$454.18
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+226.9%+$759.62
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.53
Will Nigeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$43.59
Will Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$53.28
Will Algeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17.75
Will Cameroon win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40.23
Will Mali win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.94
Will Burkina Faso win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.24
Will DR Congo win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26.64
Will South Africa win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$28.16
All 17 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick14cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+151.7%+$33.64
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+233.1%+$238.19
Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+211.7%+$263.54
Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80.4
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$18.98
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1B and $1.2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17.76
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $800M and $1B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20.66
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+268%+$36.72
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $600M and $800M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.22
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.92
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15.88
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$53.95
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+458.3%+$54.86
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+182.7%+$84.94
Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.15
Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.9
Will Porto win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.54
Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Will Lille win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.81
Will Stuttgart win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Will Midtjylland win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Will Genk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
AZ vs. Noah FA: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.93
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.3
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+83.9%+$9.28
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.08
Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5)backed Jagiellonia Białystok · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+1,003.2%+$145.95
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Panathinaikós AO: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69%+$7.05
All 15 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick14cpaid+61.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$427.74
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$44.75
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$413.62
Will XRP reach $2.60 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$72.93
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$35.08
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$34.03
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11.07
Will Solana dip to $120 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11.07
Will Solana dip to $110 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$13.22
Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$51.38
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+187.4%+$218.2
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+651.1%+$122.59
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+895.7%+$427.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+122.3%+$134.61
All 14 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.82
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.87
Will Meta acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.71
Will Amazon acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.55
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.46
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.74
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.56
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+333%+$1,255.45
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.62
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.65
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.92
Will Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.43
Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.94
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.27
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.94
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.01
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.39
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.65
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.99
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.61
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.42
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.34
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$96.5
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$19.14
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-55.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.91
Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.82
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.85
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+433.8%+$47.98
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.74
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.33
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.32
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.98
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.12
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-62.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.04
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.23
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+195%+$137.4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.76
Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.39
Military action against Iran ends by March 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.06
Military action against Iran ends by March 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Military action against Iran ends by March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$6.44
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.92
20+ trapped Hamas fighters allowed to leave in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.75
U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.78
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-87.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Will Dalourny Nemorin be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.55
Will Nicki Minaj advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.28
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.92
Will Paul Dans be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.44
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.07
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.97
Will Charles Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$21.35
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-48.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joaquin Panichelli be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Will Bradley Barcola be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
Will Rennes finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Will Lyon finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.02
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Will Marseille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+309%+$43.62
Will Monaco finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Will Lorient finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
All 8 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+228%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-63.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick25cpaid+194.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-68.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick13cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Uros Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+189.2%+$34.16
Will Uros Medic win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked sleepers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+118.2%+$13.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+90.7%+$17.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Efecto be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+60.3%+$10.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar Total Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 100 Thieves qualify to a S-tier tournament by June 1 ? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1) - Completed match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs AVULUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.