Middle East · resolved market
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,229,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,348,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,229,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 7,010 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa253…c48fbacked Yes | 4c | 3,916,962$146,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146,278.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…b824backed Yes | 6c | 2,478,192$148,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148,880.21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6320backed Yes | 0c | 1,781,576$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,945.45 | 104 | 17.3%18 W · 86 L | -13.7wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…ee4dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,192,373$158,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158,428.48 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fa…6ff5backed Yes | 0c | 565,582$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…d050backed Yes | 11c | 486,836$53,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,558.39 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…8195backed Yes | 9c | 467,580$43,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,129.05 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…433abacked Yes | 17c | 462,340$77,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,352.23 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf55c…0afebacked Yes | 10c | 435,594$41,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,878.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e2…6e12backed No | 68c | 412,424$279,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,185.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…5764backed Yes | 3c | 411,867$12,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,884.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 18cpaid | +337.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…83bcbacked No | 76c | 410,867$310,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,646.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…60eebacked Yes | 3c | 376,357$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 0c | 358,558$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.42 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6421backed Yes | 0c | 349,222$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.22 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 314,395$71,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,316.09 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…7801backed Yes | 15c | 308,102$46,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,125.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…ef9fbacked Yes | 0c | 300,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1caa…46a0backed Yes | 4c | 298,387$10,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,624.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…0cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 289,445$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +2,135.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 4c | 277,126$10,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,499.4 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed3…b19ebacked Yes | 17c | 273,581$46,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,886.21 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 10cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed Yes | 18c | 239,804$42,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,611.65 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…89bbbacked Yes | 22c | 236,572$51,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,975.5 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 5c | 208,750$11,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,036.16 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 10c | 205,401$20,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,285.26 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…fe9dbacked Yes | 13c | 205,371$25,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,797.98 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…cd9dbacked Yes | 16c | 198,348$32,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,664.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 12c | 197,964$23,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,480.28 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c2…ccb0backed Yes | 7c | 186,260$13,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,069.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Yes | 10c | 181,707$18,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,120.26 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.27per pick | 17cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked No | 80c | 180,801$143,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,892.43 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…6d64backed Yes | 15c | 177,197$26,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,782.75 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…e01bbacked Yes | 13c | 175,847$23,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c08…1ff6backed Yes | 4c | 166,990$6,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,802.21 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 28c | 165,766$46,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,179.68 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…dcf0backed Yes | 8c | 162,353$13,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,048.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 16c | 152,765$24,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,261.91 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5b…605cbacked Yes | 0c | 144,385$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 73c | 141,523$103,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,995.19 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b7…50b1backed Yes | 9c | 136,628$12,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,285.59 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 9c | 135,844$12,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,729.52 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 17c | 132,833$22,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,273.58 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed No | 79c | 132,097$104,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,784.25 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d15…c454backed No | 77c | 129,866$100,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,423.96 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 75c | 129,376$97,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,730.83 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked No | 68c | 128,711$87,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,080.57 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce3…966bbacked Yes | 2c | 124,605$2,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,766.61 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 2c | 119,038$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…90ccbacked Yes | 6c | 118,666$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 12c | 114,865$14,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,270.38 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9e…8539backed Yes | 17c | 114,704$19,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,176.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 18c | 113,925$20,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,206.23 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 5c | 112,378$5,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,887.18 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…b255backed Yes | 1c | 110,542$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f6…8160backed Yes | 6c | 109,066$6,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,491.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c7…b983backed Yes | 1c | 106,564$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…91d8backed No | 77c | 103,860$79,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,026.54 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 21c | 103,767$21,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,481.84 | 136 | 17.6%24 W · 112 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…b2a7backed Yes | 4c | 102,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed Yes | 3c | 100,652$3,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…aaabbacked Yes | 16c | 99,413$16,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,003.59 | 70 | 14.3%10 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 97,300$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.2 | 191 | 19.9%38 W · 153 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8a…9506backed Yes | 29c | 96,137$27,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,960 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 16c | 95,204$15,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,100.64 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…e368backed Yes | 32c | 94,075$29,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,894.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9557…7136backed Yes | 16c | 93,257$14,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,793.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.41per pick | 13cpaid | +1,012.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 15c | 93,127$13,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,857.79 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 17c | 92,826$16,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,144.54 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe838…92fbbacked Yes | 11c | 92,385$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…548cbacked Yes | 15c | 90,816$13,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,900 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 20c | 88,882$18,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,184.84 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cb…92b1backed Yes | 30c | 88,191$26,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,206.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked Yes | 24c | 87,913$21,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,303.76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3f…36b6backed Yes | 18c | 87,872$15,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,798.96 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1913…b494backed Yes | 28c | 87,451$24,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,863.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed Yes | 22c | 86,710$18,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,645.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 13c | 85,835$11,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,482.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe24…cc8bbacked Yes | 25c | 83,801$20,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,874.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 15c | 82,069$12,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,421.52 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd782…9285backed Yes | 0c | 79,697$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…d5e3backed Yes | 17c | 78,612$13,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,629.25 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…7828backed Yes | 3c | 78,316$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.44 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 74c | 77,281$57,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,859.69 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…e8b8backed Yes | 12c | 77,127$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a8…5204backed Yes | 7c | 76,660$5,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,241.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed Yes | 4c | 76,293$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.25 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…cde1backed No | 63c | 75,634$47,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,016.18 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ad…f71abacked No | 73c | 75,012$55,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,003.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274a…2246backed Yes | 3c | 74,996$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…6110backed Yes | 2c | 73,900$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.61 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed No | 80c | 73,000$58,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,954.05 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6d…9f36backed Yes | 22c | 72,469$15,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,926.9 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e2…9a41backed Yes | 19c | 72,003$13,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,444.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…5da3backed Yes | 3c | 71,537$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…7658backed Yes | 4c | 70,851$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d70…064ebacked Yes | 9c | 70,367$6,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,270.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbf…0c9abacked Yes | 19c | 67,107$12,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,621 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…2eeebacked Yes | 5c | 66,500$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ae…3567backed Yes | 4c | 66,432$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900.42 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.