TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd7f6…8160

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
202
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT4847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.98
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$14.2
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+334.8%+$50.22
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.59
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
UFC 322: Cortez vs. Blanchfield (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Blanchfield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
UFC 322: Mariscal vs. Sabatini (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Mariscal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Emmers vs. Amilbacked Emmers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+122.2%+$30.56
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
Dern vs. Jandirobabacked Jandiroba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+151.6%+$30.32
Park vs. Aliskerovbacked Aliskerov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Wood vs. Delgadobacked Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Malott vs. Hollandbacked Malott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Frevola vs. Nelsonbacked Frevola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Delijabacked Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Patterson vs. Waters backed Patterson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$10.45
UFC Fight Night: Tavares vs. Bryczekbacked Tavares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhangbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Sterlingbacked Ortega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST4744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$162.07
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$29.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$180.11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$53.32
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+122%+$623.44
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.82
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20.4
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+98.5%+$29.55
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+185.7%+$45.49
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+300%+$45
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$36.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+93.5%+$14.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$37.7
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+411.8%+$65.88
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$14.07
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$91.7
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.6%+$185
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$89.1
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will Levante UD win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$25.04
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$9,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,999.21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+354.5%+$88.64
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.07
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+212.5%+$53.13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+43.4%+$195.42
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+144.8%+$72.39
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25.8%+$30.95
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,130
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+42.1%+$55.26
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+42.1%+$55.26
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$560
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$8,582Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+26.8%+$2,298.76
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$383.78
LoL: DRX vs T1 (BO3)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$197.52
LoL: DRX vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$157.99
LoL: DRX vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+900%+$90
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.72
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.94
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$68
FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+133.6%+$28.6
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+82.6%+$54.29
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+62.1%+$22.8
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.95
Will Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$300
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+34.3%+$250.4
76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+185.7%+$60.18
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+90.6%+$523
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+200%+$99.99
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Magic vs. Netsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,576Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,575.75
George Mason Patriots vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$82.82
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+57.3%+$56.45
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Valparaiso Beaconsbacked Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Columbia Lions vs. Brown Bearsbacked Columbia Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$69.92
Syracuse Orange vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+106.5%+$36.41
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. CSUN Matadorsbacked CSUN Matadors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+147%+$29.4
All 8 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Braga vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+103%+$76.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mystics vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,665Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$1,335
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$22.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+50.6%+$15.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+34.2%+$254.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+28%+$19.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $170 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Türkiye vs. Romania: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,779Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,779.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.