Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
George Mason Patriots vs. Rhode Island Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0510f21737553bac3db4d260979c54281b8b56f381b91a7caa24dccb2e7c7e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rhode Island Ramsof George Mason Patriots, Rhode Island Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d07…0351backed George Mason Patriots | 2c | 7,998$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked George Mason Patriots | 50c | 2,743$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.15 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Rhode Island Rams | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rhode Island Rams | 48c | 2,136$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.16 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed George Mason Patriots | 54c | 1,831$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.22 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked George Mason Patriots | 63c | 1,382$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.2 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Rhode Island Rams | 58c | 1,227$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.85 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rhode Island Rams | 48c | 1,037$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked George Mason Patriots | 52c | 1,005$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.88 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked George Mason Patriots | 52c | 821.17$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.01 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Rhode Island Rams | 46c | 793.48$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.48 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked George Mason Patriots | 54c | 666.67$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Rhode Island Rams | 47c | 574.47$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.47 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked George Mason Patriots | 46c | 523.6$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.19 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…089dbacked George Mason Patriots | 42c | 380$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.4 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Rhode Island Rams | 46c | 369.3$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.95 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked George Mason Patriots | 54c | 329.5$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.93 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked George Mason Patriots | 46c | 322$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.6 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Rhode Island Rams | 46c | 302.45$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.32 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…6cb6backed Rhode Island Rams | 50c | 299.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.47 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Rhode Island Rams | 44c | 286.12$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.77 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rhode Island Rams | 51c | 274.92$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.17 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Rhode Island Rams | 42c | 238.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.27 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Rhode Island Rams | 40c | 238.23$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.94 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rhode Island Rams | 46c | 236.83$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.07 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Rhode Island Rams | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Rhode Island Rams | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Rhode Island Rams | 46c | 201$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.54 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…9955backed Rhode Island Rams | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +15.0wins | +0.28per pick | 11cpaid | +213.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f6…8160backed George Mason Patriots | 46c | 179$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rhode Island Rams | 46c | 166.01$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.04 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…55babacked George Mason Patriots | 61c | 125.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed George Mason Patriots | 53c | 125.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed George Mason Patriots | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Rhode Island Rams | 55c | 109.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked George Mason Patriots | 54c | 106.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked George Mason Patriots | 58c | 106$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed George Mason Patriots | 39c | 105.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Rhode Island Rams | 42c | 100.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…9ec1backed George Mason Patriots | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked George Mason Patriots | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked George Mason Patriots | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked George Mason Patriots | 50c | 98.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2b6bbacked Rhode Island Rams | 65c | 97.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed George Mason Patriots | 60c | 97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Rhode Island Rams | 69c | 97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed George Mason Patriots | 53c | 95.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed George Mason Patriots | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rhode Island Rams | 44c | 81.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked George Mason Patriots | 46c | 78.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rhode Island Rams | 46c | 76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rhode Island Rams | 54c | 73.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Rhode Island Rams | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Rhode Island Rams | 48c | 68.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed George Mason Patriots | 57c | 61.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Rhode Island Rams | 48c | 53.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed George Mason Patriots | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Rhode Island Rams | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rhode Island Rams | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked George Mason Patriots | 45c | 44.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Rhode Island Rams | 46c | 43.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a7…c0debacked George Mason Patriots | 70c | 39.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Rhode Island Rams | 42c | 38.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Rhode Island Rams | 47c | 36.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked George Mason Patriots | 40c | 32.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1981…3867backed Rhode Island Rams | 69c | 29.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…93aebacked George Mason Patriots | 55c | 28.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed George Mason Patriots | 40c | 28.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked George Mason Patriots | 54c | 26.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed George Mason Patriots | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed George Mason Patriots | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed George Mason Patriots | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3f…38e4backed George Mason Patriots | 57c | 21.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked George Mason Patriots | 53c | 19.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked George Mason Patriots | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed George Mason Patriots | 60c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0d…5087backed Rhode Island Rams | 60c | 18.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.39per pick | 54cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- George Mason Patriots vs. Rhode Island Ramsthis page
- George Mason Patriots vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 135.5Over won
- Spread: George Mason Patriots (-1.5)Rhode Island Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.