TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71a5…c3ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: College Football, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST5646.4%26 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Clippers: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$325.5
Nets vs. Clippers: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,100
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$922Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$922.05
Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$979Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+56.3%+$551.4
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,815Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+116.1%+$2,107.43
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,100
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$673.91
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,033.21
Spread: Hornets (-9.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100.2%+$300.73
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,583Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+25.4%+$1,164.22
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500.65
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,700
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$539.13
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+51.3%+$770.11
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,193Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.1%+$833.67
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$1,000
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+101.5%+$1,014.97
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Hornets vs. Warriorsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$408.45
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST3429.4%10 W · 24 L-7.7wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-49.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
NFL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,725Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+47.8%+$1,301.28
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$2,233.63
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$443.4
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Spread: Bills (-2.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+55.5%+$323.39
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,764Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,764.5
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Spread: Giants (-2.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Spread: Giants (-3.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$24.6
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,019.94
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$184.29
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$784Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$784.22
Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$480.39
Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$392.86
Spread: Patriots (-13.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,697Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$2,696.59
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,209Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$622.92
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,623Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,622.68
Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.1%+$330.44
Burnley FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,800
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+67.6%+$676.23
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+203%+$609.09
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+59.5%+$297.46
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+37%+$554.79
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+44.9%+$449.28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+37%+$369.86
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+74.4%+$744.31
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+108.3%+$1,083.33
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+132%+$220.48
AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+72.4%+$1,086.21
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1520%3 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-64.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,800
Capitals vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Panthers vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Panthers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,083.33
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Canucks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Canucks vs. Sabresbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,731Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,731.41
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,400
Utah vs. Rangersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,441.18
Flyers vs. Krakenbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wingsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Predators vs. Bluesbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+32.6%+$325.96
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bullsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,310Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+43.4%+$1,436.82
George Mason Patriots vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$870.2
Yale Bulldogs vs. Penn Quakersbacked Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,099Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+32.6%+$357.86
Villanova Wildcats vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,726Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+40.7%+$703.35
Clemson Tigers vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+29.1%+$290.57
American Eagles vs. Holy Cross Crusadersbacked American Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,099Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$427.29
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$600.34
Portland Pilots vs. Loyola Marymount Lions: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+98.3%+$589.8
Portland Pilots vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked Loyola Marymount Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$723.86
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+90.9%+$909.33
Spread: Iona Gaels (-11.5)backed Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$225.53
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,382Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.9%+$2,165.7
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,235Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+63.3%+$3,313.12
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 61.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$100
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+67.1%+$2,013.06
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+44.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Eliot Spizzirri vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+66.8%+$601.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,591Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+65%+$1,034.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.