Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9df3f13eeda73da02e7d9f06be446f7704d6adf680ceda347e18fd474a9e1267
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,217,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,452,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,217,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 701 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 43c | 213,815$91,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,116.3 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 41c | 143,680$59,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,439 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 57c | 100,000$57,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,000 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 59c | 68,485$40,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,222.63 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 42c | 58,933$24,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,978.4 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 58c | 38,500$22,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,355 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 38,310$19,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,511.03 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 57c | 37,894$21,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,323.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 60c | 35,986$21,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,404.84 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 42c | 31,897$13,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,551.3 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed No | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 55c | 26,461$14,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,907.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 55c | 26,229$14,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,803.08 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.98 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes | 53c | 9,257$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,316.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 51c | 9,220$4,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,537.54 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.9 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 57c | 8,778$4,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,806.69 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 58c | 7,856$4,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,532 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed No | 45c | 7,688$3,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.91 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 37c | 7,413$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.95 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…c2f4backed No | 39c | 7,137$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked No | 38c | 6,953$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.32 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 39c | 6,743$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.83 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 61c | 6,557$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.38 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 57c | 6,478$3,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.1 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 5,915$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.7 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 43c | 5,869$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 73c | 5,547$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.65 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 40c | 5,501$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.87 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 38c | 4,816$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.07 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 62c | 4,275$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.32 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Yes | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 56c | 3,882$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.65 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 27c | 3,700$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 57c | 3,695$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.14 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Yes | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.69 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d80…cd30backed Yes | 66c | 3,008$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.98 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 55c | 2,872$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.18 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2a…4a00backed Yes | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab1f…423abacked Yes | 58c | 2,515$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Yes | 57c | 2,205$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 42c | 2,200$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.82 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 41c | 2,118$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.96 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 55c | 2,092$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.4 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 39c | 2,088$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.54 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…9771backed Yes | 62c | 2,041$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.73 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 45c | 2,000$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7328backed Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Yes | 61c | 1,972$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7862…46abbacked Yes | 57c | 1,951$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 32c | 1,875$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 56c | 1,850$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Yes | 57c | 1,749$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 38c | 1,700$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,610$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Yes | 47c | 1,582$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 55c | 1,563$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Yes | 57c | 1,529$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.7 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Yes | 28c | 1,500$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed No | 42c | 1,446$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.98 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…6c23backed Yes | 29c | 1,403$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,316$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.52 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…8dbbbacked Yes | 60c | 1,258$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 58c | 1,209$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.62 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 1,208$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.92 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,158$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.89 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 41c | 1,100$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…e2a2backed No | 40c | 1,092$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 46c | 1,092$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.57 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Yes | 61c | 1,074$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…26c6backed Yes | 32c | 1,060$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed No | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 46c | 1,034$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.22 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes | 52c | 1,019$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…247dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Yes | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 41c | 999.98$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 38c | 999.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed No | 38c | 999.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?No won
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.