TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7fd…6c23

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Asian League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$118
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+150%+$150
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$151.8
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$252
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$464
Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$197.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$315
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$317
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+113.4%+$372
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$544
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+170.3%+$25.54
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$210
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+76.5%+$260
All 21 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$144.12
US Lecce vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
AC Milan vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$200
Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$150.5
Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100.19
SSC Napoli vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$227.5
Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+143.9%+$287.8
FC Internazionale Milano vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+144.9%+$289.71
SSC Napoli vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+669.2%+$1,338.46
US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$560.05
Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$192.19
SS Lazio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$301.6
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Juventus FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$432
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.79
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+138.1%+$116
Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+185.7%+$195
Newcastle United FC vs. PSV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$60.48
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$99
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+112.8%+$281.91
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Benin vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+194.4%+$485.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$494
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.