La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95145942dde27c7d876b166fde13d34a8bcb833dcd0623dd58154492b8f40c13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $442,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $479,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 39c | 54,577$21,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,206.03 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 25,626$11,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,902.69 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 67c | 20,223$13,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,583.27 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +14.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 14,506$8,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,144 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 56c | 14,264$7,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,988.09 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 79c | 13,764$10,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.88 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 76c | 9,734$7,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.48 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 44c | 9,037$3,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,937.56 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 8,156$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.32 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 55c | 7,638$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,169.83 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 34c | 6,812$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.99 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 41c | 5,091$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.81 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +12.8wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…c8eebacked Yes | 52c | 4,506$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 17c | 3,896$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.66 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 73c | 3,405$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.26 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 46c | 3,323$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.8 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed Yes | 44c | 2,850$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 46c | 2,647$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.13 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Yes | 66c | 2,637$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.06 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked No | 57c | 2,576$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed Yes | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 54c | 2,292$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.9 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 69c | 2,272$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.57 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 54c | 2,130$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.6 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +15.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed No | 53c | 2,076$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 54c | 1,950$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed No | 49c | 1,873$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…a62bbacked No | 29c | 1,770$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed No | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.18 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -69%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,750$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,425$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.02 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked No | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 74c | 1,316$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.53 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 1,286$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.74 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…102cbacked No | 36c | 1,236$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,152$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.26 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked No | 1c | 1,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 11c | 1,096$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 55c | 1,028$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.67 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 73c | 1,011$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.68 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 50c | 1,001$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.46 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 54c | 919.49$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.52 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes | 55c | 909.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 44c | 908.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.9 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed Yes | 44c | 884.7$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Yes | 68c | 862.01$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.62 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 41c | 853.66$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.66 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b1…30e9backed Yes | 80c | 750.89$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed No | 32c | 730$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.2 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 45c | 709.09$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.19 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 45c | 662.22$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.22 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed No | 44c | 636.36$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…4489backed Yes | 71c | 611.55$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Yes | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked Yes | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed No | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 45c | 599.18$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.55 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 25c | 569.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.15 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed No | 17c | 559.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.53 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…a10bbacked No | 11c | 500$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…0bc4backed No | 52c | 484.97$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 78c | 484.02$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed No | 42c | 483.59$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.75 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed No | 53c | 478.08$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.68 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed No | 53c | 468.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 51c | 452.73$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.89 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 11c | 419.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 60c | 415.1$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.96 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed No | 53c | 399.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 45c | 397.78$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.78 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 47c | 396.01$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed No | 76c | 395.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked No | 57c | 393.46$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.27 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…a31ebacked Yes | 79c | 378.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 30c | 365.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.41 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 46c | 352.16$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.17 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa194…911cbacked Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…c7aebacked Yes | 66c | 340.83$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 45c | 320$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Yes | 64c | 300$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed No | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed No | 43c | 300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80e…368fbacked No | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…6c23backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 46c | 299.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked No | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Yes | 67c | 289.51$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 56c | 284.79$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.48 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-25?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.