TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0176…ff71

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT4037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.49
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$285
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.5
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.16
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$246
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.99
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$472.97
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$360
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$269.99
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.99
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$164.99
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$413.51
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$340
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.48
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$467.95
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$266
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$59.28
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.99
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+279.6%+$678.38
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$310
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$419.99
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$274.99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$472.81
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$180
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$282
All 20 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC København win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$289.98
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will NEC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+212.5%+$340
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+63.9%+$195
CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$242
Sporting CP vs. CD Nacional: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$317.99
Gaziantep FK vs. Konyaspor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+127.3%+$336
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$265
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.5
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+166.7%+$624.99
Will Levante UD win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+244.8%+$354.99
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+132.6%+$341.89
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$380
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$162
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$318
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$255
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$235
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.5
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$245
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$130
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$70.33
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$401.97
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$319
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$295
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+150%+$300
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$199.99
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$435.5
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$280
Will FC Metz win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$509.99
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$235
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+29.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-74.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+52.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$270
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$889.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$171.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.