Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-05-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5759b5a524ed08a8e6b994b3fdf02366286083fabe917dd4890aa998f0f67f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Yes | 79c | 7,681$6,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,097.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 3,064$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.53 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 21c | 1,678$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.96 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f7…ef5bbacked Yes | 44c | 1,462$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 1,381$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.12 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 1,025$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.93 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…4eaebacked Yes | 32c | 783.47$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 32c | 687.5$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 70c | 613.68$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.68 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | +15.4wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 12c | 525$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed No | 42c | 499.96$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 68c | 469.14$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.53 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 59c | 405.7$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.28 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 393.79$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.01 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 67c | 350.02$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.26 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 68c | 341.08$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 24c | 333$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.74 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes | 74c | 307.27$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 287.96$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.51 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…b7ffbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4f…b4b5backed Yes | 32c | 283.84$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 52c | 279.11$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.24 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 18c | 271.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 69c | 231.96$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…482ebacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 22c | 195.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 22c | 195$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 33c | 190$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 33c | 170.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 33c | 170.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 32c | 148.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 64c | 144.66$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.32 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Yes | 20c | 137.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964e…85ccbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c8…4573backed No | 48c | 112.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 44c | 102.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 101.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 23c | 90.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 20c | 77.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 36c | 68.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…57e8backed No | 43c | 62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 45c | 59.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 34c | 58.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed No | 70c | 53.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked No | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x190e…e9c9backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Yes | 22c | 50.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 62c | 48.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed No | 37c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 32c | 47.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b39…9dadbacked Yes | 50c | 44.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Yes | 77c | 43.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 79cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x886d…b7e2backed No | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 31c | 35.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…39b5backed No | 69c | 35.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 67c | 32.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 61c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…8ddabacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 67c | 29.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 67c | 22.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Yes | 65c | 15.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 66c | 15.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-05-01?this page
- Will Brøndby IF vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-05-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.