TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe3ab…482e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$21
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+410.5%+$102.63
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jeremy Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Ozzy Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Charles Oliveira win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Morales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+132.6%+$131.23
Will Leon Edwards win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UFC 322: Cortez vs. Blanchfield (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cortez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$35
UFC 322: Meerschaert vs. Daukaus (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Meerschaert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Kyle Daukaus win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$41
UFC 322: Mariscal vs. Sabatini (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Sabatini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$14.19
UFC 322: Hill vs. Kline (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)backed Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$38
UFC 322: McConico vs. Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed McConico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$58.29
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.7
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$21
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+376.2%+$56.43
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Titans vs. 49ersbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Chargers vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+161.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$28.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $210 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.6
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+726.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+726.4%+$268.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Antalya 3: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Ekaterine Gorgodze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.