TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Packers vs. Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Packersof Packers, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,953,619
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,180,511

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,953,619 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 615 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa987…141dbacked Packers73c276,136$202,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,747.9410061%61 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Giants27c267,374$73,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,433.0330043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0b…9f41backed Packers78c164,575$128,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,569.31973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Packers77c108,344$83,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,702.595453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Giants26c102,673$26,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,344.3310026%26 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Packers71c101,000$71,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,29011168.5%76 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Giants24c80,097$19,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,020.5616836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Packers76c62,000$47,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,574.8820755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Giants23c61,733$14,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,198.6917041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Giants23c60,699$13,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,901.8153253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Giants23c58,806$13,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,525.2986547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Giants22c49,464$10,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,882.0810650.9%54 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Giants31c38,308$12,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,019.9773651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Packers74c36,081$26,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,257.816245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Packers76c32,000$24,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,68017647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Giants24c32,000$7,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6805236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Giants21c31,508$6,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,575.513432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Giants22c30,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6009359.1%55 W · 38 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Giants24c30,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,20019645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Giants26c29,704$7,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,867.048532.9%28 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4ec…2493backed Giants23c25,000$5,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,749.991118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Packers76c23,852$18,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,724.3812744.9%57 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Packers69c22,649$15,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,022.8419235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Packers77c21,417$16,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,925.84365.1%28 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Packers77c21,106$16,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,856.944652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Giants24c20,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8004944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Giants35c14,992$5,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,241.184134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants22c14,775$3,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,250.583147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Packers73c13,613$9,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,727.447348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Giants22c12,666$2,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,786.5210333%34 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Giants24c12,631$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00013142%55 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Packers76c11,879$9,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,835.3421254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ab…f2c3backed Giants30c11,702$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5003351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Packers71c11,384$8,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,257.1731543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a4…9e63backed Packers76c10,686$8,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,576.522347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Packers76c10,148$7,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,472.371,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Giants22c10,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22010434.6%36 W · 68 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x79a5…6a63backed Giants24c10,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.98922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-55.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Giants31c8,854$2,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,731.4875852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Packers76c8,769$6,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.6228447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Giants22c8,562$1,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,915.453423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Giants25c8,500$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.918044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Giants23c7,664$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.3131848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aeb…be79backed Packers76c7,311$5,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.381764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Packers76c6,611$5,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.646955.1%38 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3831…69bebacked Packers79c6,345$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-57.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Giants22c6,067$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.5747738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Giants21c5,588$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.5426547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Packers73c5,570$4,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.9368446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Packers76c5,275$4,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2664252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e6…1dc2backed Packers77c5,195$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.81475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Giants24c5,119$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.6553348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Packers76c5,061$3,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.118550.6%43 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Packers75c5,037$3,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.0514951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Packers78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1002941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Packers75c5,000$3,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27013435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Packers73c4,673$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.9631854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Packers77c4,665$3,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.913450%67 W · 67 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Packers74c4,638$3,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.543748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Packers57c4,365$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.5411252.7%59 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3fb…b8e1backed Packers71c4,225$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+94.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d98…e447backed Packers76c4,207$3,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.58560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Giants29c4,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16017144.4%76 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Packers63c3,834$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.8323244.4%103 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d6d…1ba1backed Giants18c3,558$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6503560%21 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6141…ded2backed Packers76c3,527$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.441764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Packers67c3,316$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.422343.5%10 W · 13 L-5.3wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-38.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Giants24c3,150$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.57732.5%25 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Packers80c3,035$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.9564747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Packers76c3,032$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.6714757.1%84 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Giants23c3,008$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.8912144.6%54 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed Giants24c2,997$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.28119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick37cpaid-78.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Packers80c2,957$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.1416254.9%89 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Packers79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.6514763.9%94 W · 53 L+12.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Giants20c2,406$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Giants21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0114035%49 W · 91 L-12.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Packers78c2,335$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.595160.8%31 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c3a…9ec0backed Packers77c2,257$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.011450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39e5…21dabacked Packers67c2,239$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.81540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Giants1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.224311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Packers68c2,206$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.881471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Giants24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016737.7%63 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Packers77c2,076$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.447050%35 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Packers77c2,062$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.2932050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Packers79c2,027$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.2923850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed Packers65c2,020$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Packers77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Giants31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6205246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Giants25c2,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49014945.6%68 W · 81 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a25…3598backed Packers79c1,960$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.481573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants22c1,947$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.341,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Giants22c1,924$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.2883447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d6…d648backed Packers77c1,816$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.798536.5%31 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Packers75c1,800$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4446624.2%16 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+81.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Packers76c1,800$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.414443.8%63 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Packers77c1,700$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3913470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Giants23c1,697$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.3527348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf6…af1ebacked Packers76c1,578$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.441560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x429b…0688backed Packers76c1,562$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.821163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Packers76c1,500$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36030446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.