TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1c0b…9f41

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$180,556Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+30.9%+$55,802.62
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$240,134Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+39.4%+$94,635.37
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10,568Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+111.9%+$11,822.06
Falcons vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15,329Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+348.4%+$53,410.89
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27,858Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+46.4%+$12,918.46
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$88,179Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$91,778.39
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21,893Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+177.8%+$38,920.45
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$117,660Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$117,660.35
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$91,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$91,498.97
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$128,006Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+28.6%+$36,569.3
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$4,690
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$235,724Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+87.7%+$206,627.96
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$76,838Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+50.8%+$39,046.41
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28,940Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+54.6%+$15,812.79
Commanders vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32,050Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$9,039.8
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19,413Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$10,919.56
49ers vs. Texansbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,132.49
Dolphins vs. Falconsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15,010Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$3,990
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$9,855Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,854.68
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,791Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+25.9%+$1,500.17
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15,200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4,800
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$85,224Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+40.8%+$34,801.4
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7,000
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11,600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8,400
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31,152Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$33,747.99
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,886Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,886
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$12,999.98
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28,800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$31,200
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,286.51
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$23,139.66
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,174Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$502.95
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$110,585.41
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$334,594Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+38.8%+$129,863.99
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$112,880Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+28.6%+$32,333.64
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19,843Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$19,842.79
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76,156Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+85.2%+$64,873.53
Oklahoma vs. Alabamabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51,587Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+173.5%+$89,519.49
Arkansas State vs. Troybacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$9,120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+26.9%+$2,451.45
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Canucksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$8,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$8,850
Red Wings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$21,300
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,573Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+69.5%+$3,177.8
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$370
Oilers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+34.5%+$231
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$8,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,195.5
All 6 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,556Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,556.05
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29,566Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+60.7%+$17,933.99
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$5,700
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,197.66
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$172,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$172,879.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.