NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Magic

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef6199ce5302511abd392cfdd02e41c7e5b0b046e6d3c7fd1527d77c9ae1e8cd

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hawksof Hawks, Magic
Resolved: Oct 25, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,248,646
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,216,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,248,646 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 932 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5afb…4511backed Hawks	35c	887,224$307,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$580,064.91	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Hawks	35c	500,000$175,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324,999.98	154	43.5%67 W · 87 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Magic	65c	268,782$174,681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174,681.34	88	43.2%38 W · 50 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-19%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Magic	65c	133,047$86,831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86,830.57	710	52.1%370 W · 340 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Magic	66c	100,000$66,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65,999.91	202	53.5%108 W · 94 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Magic	65c	81,000$52,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52,650	148	56.1%83 W · 65 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Magic	67c	77,198$51,446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,445.81	698	52%363 W · 335 L	+10.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Magic	67c	76,245$50,734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,734.37	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Magic	65c	75,568$49,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,063.4	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Magic	70c	66,891$46,901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46,901.17	418	48.3%202 W · 216 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Magic	54c	64,209$34,878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,878.07	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Magic	66c	63,526$42,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,127.02	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Hawks	64c	49,534$31,865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,669.3	474	48.7%231 W · 243 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed Magic	66c	46,755$30,858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,858	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Magic	65c	40,033$26,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,022.11	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x576d…767dbacked Hawks	34c	35,000$11,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,100	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Hawks	13c	31,037$4,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,002.49	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Magic	66c	30,420$20,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,076.93	471	44.2%208 W · 263 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Magic	67c	26,644$17,792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,792.09	361	48.5%175 W · 186 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Magic	77c	22,925$17,633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,633.4	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Magic	65c	21,540$14,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,054.67	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Magic	67c	20,000$13,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,400	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks	42c	18,650$7,811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,839.57	1,316	50.5%664 W · 652 L	+42.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Magic	50c	16,890$8,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,453.87	815	29.4%240 W · 575 L	-37.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c0b…9f41backed Magic	67c	15,353$10,287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,286.51	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	60cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Magic	67c	14,925$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	162	51.9%84 W · 78 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f89…d508backed Hawks	34c	14,706$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,705.88	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Magic	67c	13,147$8,809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,808.58	174	41.4%72 W · 102 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Hawks	33c	12,000$3,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,040	346	45.4%157 W · 189 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f7…f63dbacked Hawks	33c	11,753$3,878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,874.5	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Magic	65c	11,400$7,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,410	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Magic	76c	11,365$8,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,655.42	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Magic	66c	11,111$7,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,333.26	159	52.2%83 W · 76 L	+9.2wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Magic	64c	10,000$6,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,400	382	48.7%186 W · 196 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Magic	64c	9,727$6,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,233.44	258	47.3%122 W · 136 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Magic	65c	9,231$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic	13c	9,174$1,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,208.37	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf157…87d4backed Hawks	35c	8,624$3,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,605.41	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.65per pick	35cpaid	+185.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03e6…5554backed Magic	65c	8,613$5,598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,598.21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Hawks	59c	8,521$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,521.29	340	62.1%211 W · 129 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Hawks	29c	8,000$2,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,680	123	34.1%42 W · 81 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Magic	67c	7,911$5,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,300.1	98	49%48 W · 50 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Magic	67c	7,451$4,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,992	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Hawks	34c	5,882$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,882.35	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+24%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Magic	37c	5,546$2,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,026.98	192	49.5%95 W · 97 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Magic	66c	5,000$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300.21	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Hawks	34c	5,000$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,300	352	35.8%126 W · 226 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Magic	55c	4,974$2,738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,738.27	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Magic	65c	3,978$2,598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,597.92	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Magic	65c	3,629$2,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,372.31	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Magic	67c	3,554$2,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,370.07	444	59.7%265 W · 179 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Hawks	59c	3,496$2,048 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,448.47	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Magic	65c	3,411$2,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,217.38	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Magic	67c	3,000$2,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,010	180	47.8%86 W · 94 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bff…331cbacked Hawks	34c	3,000$1,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,990	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Magic	66c	2,950$1,947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,947	79	39.2%31 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fdd…5feabacked Magic	55c	2,729$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Hawks	30c	2,700$813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,887.36	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Magic	64c	2,700$1,728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,728	270	51.5%139 W · 131 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Hawks	33c	2,700$898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,802	618	35.4%219 W · 399 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Hawks	19c	2,692$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,191.81	290	37.9%110 W · 180 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x854a…aed0backed Hawks	35c	2,400$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,560	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Magic	67c	2,239$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	768	50.3%386 W · 382 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks	36c	2,050$738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,312	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08eb…aaa8backed Magic	64c	2,045$1,308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,307.52	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.32per pick	48cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Magic	65c	2,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	176	37.5%66 W · 110 L	-16.3wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Magic	65c	2,000$1,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,290	102	36.3%37 W · 65 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Hawks	35c	2,000$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Magic	67c	1,962$1,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,314.54	345	24.3%84 W · 261 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x425b…7683backed Magic	67c	1,955$1,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,310.02	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.32per pick	57cpaid	-50%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Magic	30c	1,951$587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$586.54	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Magic	72c	1,743$1,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,257.54	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9621…b76cbacked Magic	45c	1,700$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$772.78	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-3.8wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Magic	65c	1,606$1,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,045.96	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb43f…ec95backed Hawks	35c	1,600$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+108%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x660d…2e08backed Magic	65c	1,538$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	48	50%24 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Hawks	34c	1,516$522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$993.15	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fbf…3155backed Magic	37c	1,505$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Hawks	33c	1,500$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,005	157	45.2%71 W · 86 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Magic	67c	1,440$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f9…01b0backed Hawks	36c	1,377$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$877.29	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Magic	1c	1,372$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.22	550	2.5%14 W · 536 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Magic	2c	1,367$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.01	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Magic	60c	1,295$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779.99	1,409	40.2%567 W · 842 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc93a…8b69backed Hawks	26c	1,281$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$947.77	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9bc…80f7backed Magic	37c	1,050$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.5	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+3.0wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Magic	65c	1,040$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.99	240	48.3%116 W · 124 L	-13.4wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Magic	65c	1,034$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.31	477	51.8%247 W · 230 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Magic	67c	1,000$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670	275	47.6%131 W · 144 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Hawks	34c	1,000$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660	40	35%14 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3b…d17cbacked Magic	66c	1,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.9wins	-0.26per pick	45cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Hawks	17c	1,000$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$835	652	18.4%120 W · 532 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Hawks	35c	1,000$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650	753	47.5%358 W · 395 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x630c…3801backed Magic	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Magic	66c	1,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-4.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0a7…9cb1backed Magic	64c	999.99$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Magic	65c	999.98$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.99	49	51%25 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Magic	64c	999.98$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.59	288	44.8%129 W · 159 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Hawks	36c	975$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624	98	55.1%54 W · 44 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Magic	67c	972.5$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.58	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Hawks vs. Magic

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event